Bollinger band trading strategy pdf

R & amp; D Blog.
I. Estratégia de negociação.
Desenvolvedor: John Bollinger (Bollinger Bands®). Conceito: estratégia de negociação baseada na tendência baseada em Bollinger Bands. Meta de pesquisa: verificação de desempenho do modelo trifásico (longo / curto / neutro). Especificação: Tabela 1. Resultados: Figura 1-2. Configuração de comércio: operações longas: fechar [i-1] & gt; Upper_Band [i - 1]. Operações curtas: fechar [i-1] & lt; Lower_Band [i-1]. Índice: i.
Barra atual. Entrada comercial: Long Trades: Uma compra no open é colocada após uma configuração de alta. Operações curtas: uma venda no aberto é colocada após uma configuração de baixa. Trade Exit: Tabela 1. Carteira: 42 mercados de futuros de quatro principais setores de mercado (commodities, moedas, taxas de juros e índices de participação). Dados: 36 anos desde 1980. Plataforma de teste: MATLAB®.
II. Teste de sensibilidade.
Todos os gráficos 3-D são seguidos por gráficos de contorno bidimensionais para Fator de lucro, Ratio de Sharpe, Índice de Desempenho de Úlcera, CAGR, Drawdown Máximo, Percentagem de Negociações Rentáveis ​​e Média. Win / Avg. Rácio de perda. A imagem final mostra a sensibilidade da Equity Curve.
Variáveis ​​testadas: MA_Length & amp; St_Dev (Definições: Tabela 1):
Figura 1 | Desempenho do portfólio (Entradas: Tabela 1, Comissão e Slippage: $ 0).
Std (MA_Length) é um desvio padrão ao longo de um período de MA_Length.
St_Dev é uma série de desvios padrão para incluir no envelope.
Upper_Band [i] = MA [i] + St_Dev * Std [i]
Lower_Band [i] = MA [i] - St_Dev * Std [i]
St_Dev = [0.0, 3.0], Step = 0.1;
Operações curtas: fechar [i-1] & lt; Lower_Band [i-1]
Operações curtas: uma venda no aberto é colocada após uma configuração de baixa.
Stop Loss Sair: ATR (ATR_Length) é o alcance real médio em um período de ATR_Length. ATR_Stop é um múltiplo de ATR (ATR_Length). Long Trades: um stop de venda é colocado em [Entry - ATR (ATR_Length) * ATR_Stop]. Operações curtas: uma parada de compra é colocada em [Entrada + ATR (ATR_Length) * ATR_Stop].
St_Dev = [0,0, 3,0], Etapa = 0,1.
ATR_Stop = 6 (ATR.
Faixa verdadeira média
Tabela 1 | Especificação: Estratégia de negociação.
III. Teste de sensibilidade com a Comissão & amp; Slippage.
Variáveis ​​testadas: MA_Length & amp; St_Dev (Definições: Tabela 1):
Figura 2 | Desempenho do portfólio (Entradas: Tabela 1, Comissão e Slippage: $ 100 Round Turn).
IV. Classificação: Bollinger Bands & # 8211; Modelo Momentum | Estratégia de negociação.
(i) A configuração padrão de Bollinger Bands (MA_Length = 20) não é otimizada e a menor freqüência de negociação é preferida (ou seja, MA_Length & gt; 60; Figura 1-2); (ii) O envelope de volatilidade melhora o desempenho (isto é, St_Dev & gt; 0; Figura 2); (iii) A estratégia foi recuperada da redução recente.
REGRA CFTC 4.41: RESULTADOS DE DESEMPENHO HIPOTÉTICOS OU SIMULADOS TÊM CERTAS LIMITAÇÕES. DESEJO UM REGISTRO DE DESEMPENHO REAL, OS RESULTADOS SIMULADOS NÃO REPRESENTAM A NEGOCIAÇÃO REAL. TAMBÉM, DESDE QUE OS NEGÓCIOS NÃO FORAM EXECUTADOS, OS RESULTADOS PODERÃO TER COMPRIMIDO COM COMPENSADO PARA O IMPACTO, SE QUALQUER, DE CERTOS FATORES DE MERCADO, COMO FALTA DE LIQUIDEZ. PROGRAMAS DE NEGOCIAÇÃO SIMULADOS EM GERAL SÃO TAMBÉM SUJEITOS AO FATO QUE ESTÃO DESIGNADOS COM O BENEFÍCIO DE HINDSIGHT. NENHUMA REPRESENTAÇÃO ESTÁ FAZENDO QUE QUALQUER CONTA VOCE OU POSSIBILIDADE DE ALCANÇAR LUCROS OU PERDAS SIMILARES ÀOS MOSTRADOS.
DIVULGAÇÃO DE RISCOS: GOVERNO DOS ESTADOS UNIDOS EXERCÍCIOS RENÚNCIA | REGRA CFTC 4.41.
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estratégia de negociação Bollinger pdf
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Vídeo explicado por Bollinger Bands.
Confira este vídeo rápido em bandas de bollinger. O vídeo irá ajudá-lo a familiarizar-se com o indicador e fornecer uma visão geral das configurações de comércio antes de cavar nas estratégias avançadas.
Aprenda a negociar o dia do jeito certo:: Veja como você pode aprender a negociar ações, futuros e bitcoins sem riscos.
As chances são que você desembarcou nesta página em busca de estratégias de negociação da Bollinger Band, segredos, melhores bandas para usar, ou meu favorito - a arte da banda de Bollinger aperta.
Antes de pular para a seção intitulada estratégias de negociação da banda de bollinger que cobre todos esses tópicos e mais; Deixe-me distribuir dois recursos adicionais no Tradingsim: (1) Simulador de Negociação (você precisará praticar o que aprendeu) e (2) Categoria de Indicadores (confirmar sua estratégia de banda de bollinger com outro indicador é sempre uma vantagem).
No final deste artigo, você não só aprenderá seis estratégias de negociação da banda de bollinger, mas, mais importante, você entenderá qual a estratégia que melhor se adapta ao seu perfil comercial.
Indicador de Bandas de Bollinger.
As bandas de Bollinger são um poderoso indicador técnico criado por John Bollinger. Alguns comerciantes irão jurar que a negociação exclusiva de uma estratégia de bandas bollinger é a chave para o seu sucesso.
As bandas de Bollinger encapsulam o movimento de preços de uma ação. Ele fornece limites relativos de altos e baixos. O cerne do indicador da banda bollinger baseia-se em uma média móvel que define a "tendência" intermediária do estoque com base no cronograma de negociação que você está visualizando.
Este indicador de tendência é conhecido como a banda do meio. A maioria das aplicações de gráficos de estoque usam uma média móvel de 20 períodos para as configurações padrão de bandas de bollinger. As bandas superior e inferior são então uma medida de volatilidade para a parte de baixo e para baixo. Eles são calculados como dois desvios padrão da banda do meio.
Cálculo das bandas de Bollinger:
Upper Band = banda média + 2 desvios padrão.
Middle Band = média móvel de 20 períodos (a maioria dos pacotes de gráficos usa a média móvel simples)
Banda inferior = banda média - 2 desvios padrão.
O gráfico abaixo ilustra as bandas superior e inferior.
Bollinger Band Trading Strategies.
Muitos de vocês já ouviram os padrões de análise técnica popular, como tapas duplas, fundos duplos, triângulos ascendentes, triângulos simétricos, cabeça e ombros em cima ou em baixo, etc. O indicador de bandas de bollinger pode adicionar esse bit extra de potência de fogo à sua análise, avaliando o força potencial dessas formações.
As bandas de Bollinger podem ajudá-lo a entender se o estoque está ou não tendendo, ou mesmo se for volátil o suficiente para seu investimento. Na ocasião, ao negociar com bandas de bollinger, você verá as bandas arrolando firmemente, o que indica que o estoque está sendo negociado em uma faixa estreita.
Esta ação de enrolamento é o gatilho para assistir a uma quebra de preço ou avaria. Muitas vezes, grandes rali começam a partir de baixas volatilidades. Quando isso acontece, é referido como "causa de construção".
Esta é a calma antes da tempestade.
Deixe-me parar, sinto-me começando a revelar aspectos das estratégias de negociação.
Bollinger Bands Infographic.
Antes de saltar para as estratégias, dê uma olhada no infográfico abaixo intitulado '15 Coisas para saber sobre bandas de Bollinger '.
As informações contidas no gráfico irão ajudá-lo a entender melhor as técnicas mais avançadas detalhadas posteriormente neste artigo.
15 Coisas para saber sobre bandas de Bollinger.
Estratégia # 1 - Double Bottoms e Bollinger Bands.
Uma estratégia comum de banda bollinger envolve uma configuração de baixo dobro.
O fundo inicial desta formação tende a ter um volume substancial e uma forte retração de preços que se fecha fora da banda inferior de bollinger. Esses tipos de movimentos geralmente levam ao chamado "rally automático". O alto do rali automático tende a servir como o primeiro nível de resistência no processo de construção da base que ocorre antes que o estoque se mova mais alto.
Depois que o rali começar, o preço tenta retesar os mínimos mais recentes que foram configurados para testar o vigor da pressão de compra que veio nesse fundo.
Muitos técnicos da banda bollinger procuram essa barra de repetição para imprimir dentro da banda baixa. Isso indica que a pressão descendente no estoque diminuiu e há uma mudança de vendedores para compradores. Além disso, preste muita atenção ao volume; Você precisa vê-lo cair drasticamente.
Abaixo está um exemplo do duplo fundo fora da banda inferior que gera um rali automático. A instalação em questão foi para o FSLR a partir de 30 de junho de 2011. O estoque atingiu uma nova baixa com uma queda de 40% no tráfego do último balanço baixo. Para superar tudo, o candelabro lutou para fechar fora das bandas. Isso levou a um forte aumento de 12% nos próximos dois dias.
Bollinger Bands Double Bottom.
Estratégia # 2 - Reversões com Bandas Bollinger.
Reversões com Bandas Bollinger.
Outro método de negociação simples e efetivo é o desbotamento de estoque quando eles começam a imprimir fora das bandas. Agora, vamos dar um passo adiante e aplicar uma pequena análise de candelabro a esta estratégia.
Por exemplo, ao invés de curtir um estoque à medida que expira através de seu limite de banda superior, aguarde para ver como esse estoque é executado. Se o stock falhar e depois fecha perto de sua baixa e ainda está completamente fora das bandas bollinger, isso geralmente é um bom indicador de que o estoque irá corrigir no curto prazo.
Você pode então tomar uma posição curta com três áreas de saída alvo: (1) banda superior, (2) banda média ou (3) faixa inferior. No exemplo do gráfico abaixo, o Direxion Daily Small Cap Bull 3x Shares (TNA) de 29 de junho de 2011, teve uma boa diferença na parte da manhã fora das bandas, mas fechou 1 centavo fora da baixa.
Como você pode ver no gráfico, o candelabro parecia terrível. O estoque rapidamente rolou e tomou quase 2% de mergulho em menos de 30 minutos.
Bollinger Band Reversal.
Estratégia # 3 - Equitação das Bandas.
Montando as Bandas.
O único erro maior que muitos novatos da banda bollinger fazem é que eles vendam o estoque quando o preço toca a banda superior ou compre quando atinge a banda mais baixa.
O próprio Bollinger afirmou que um toque da banda superior ou da banda baixa não constitui um sinal de banda da compra ou venda.
Não só vi, mas também troquei a estratégia de montar a banda como uma configuração de continuação.
Dê uma olhada no exemplo abaixo e observe o aperto das bandas bollinger logo antes da fuga.
Para o meu ponto anterior, a penetração de preços das bandas sozinho não pode ser considerada uma razão para curtir ou vender uma ação.
Observe como o volume explodiu na fuga e o preço começou a se manifestar fora das bandas. Estas podem ser configurações extremamente lucrativas, se você lhes dar espaço para voar.
BSC Bollinger Band Exemplo.
Quero tocar a banda do meio novamente. Apenas como lembrete, a banda do meio é definida como uma média móvel simples de 20 períodos em muitas aplicações de gráficos.
Cada estoque é diferente, e alguns respeitarão o período 20 e alguns não. Em alguns casos, você precisará modificar a média móvel simples para um número que o estoque respeite. Este é um ajuste de curva, mas queremos colocar as probabilidades a nosso favor.
Embora o encaixe da curva possa funcionar, você precisa se certificar de que não fique louco ao analisar configurações corky.
De qualquer forma, a linha média pode representar áreas de suporte em pullbacks quando o estoque está montando as bandas. Você poderia até aumentar sua posição no estoque quando o preço puxar de volta para a linha do meio.
Por outro lado, a falha no estoque para continuar a acelerar fora das bandas de bollinger indica um enfraquecimento na força do estoque. Este seria um bom momento para pensar em escalar fora de uma posição ou sair completamente.
Além disso, devemos procurar mais altos e baixos maiores enquanto montamos as bandas de Bollinger.
Estratégia # 4 - Bollinger Band Squeeze.
Outra estratégia de negociação de bandas bollinger é avaliar o início de um próximo aperto.
John criou um indicador conhecido como largura da banda. Esta fórmula de largura da banda bollinger é simplesmente (Valor da Banda de Bollinger Superior - Valor da Baixa Bollinger) / Valor da Banda Médio Bollinger (média móvel simples).
A idéia, usando gráficos diários, é que, quando o indicador atingir seu nível mais baixo em 6 meses, você pode esperar que a volatilidade aumente. Isso retorna ao aperto das bandas que mencionei acima. Essa ação de aperto do indicador da banda bollinger prefigura um grande movimento. Você pode usar sinais adicionais, como a expansão do volume, ou o indicador de distribuição de acumulação.
Essas outras indicações adicionam mais evidências de uma compressão de banda de bollinger.
Nós precisamos ter uma vantagem, no entanto, ao negociar uma compressão de banda de bollinger, porque esses tipos de configurações podem falhar o melhor de nós.
Aviso acima no gráfico BSC (Estratégia # 3) como o preço do bollinger expandiu na abertura de 9/26.
Ele imediatamente se inverteu, e todos os comerciantes de fuga foram fingidos. Você não precisa espremer cada moeda de um comércio. Aguarde por alguma confirmação da ruptura e depois vá com ela. Se você estiver certo, ele irá muito mais longe em sua direção. Observe como o preço e o volume quebraram ao aproximar-se dos altos falsos da cabeça (linha amarela).
Até o ponto de aguardar a confirmação, vamos dar uma olhada em como usar o poder de uma banda de bollinger para nossa vantagem. Abaixo está um gráfico de 5 minutos da Research in Motion Limited (RIMM) a partir de 17 de junho de 2011. Observe como, até a abertura matinal, as bandas eram extremamente apertadas.
Tight Bollinger Bands.
Agora, alguns comerciantes podem adotar a abordagem comercial elementar de curtir o estoque ao ar livre com a suposição de que a quantidade de energia desenvolvida durante o aperto das bandas levará o estoque muito mais baixo. Outra abordagem é esperar a confirmação dessa crença.
Então, a maneira de lidar com esse tipo de configuração é (1) aguarde até que o candelabro volte dentro das bandas de bollinger e (2) certifique-se de que existem algumas barras internas que não quebram a parte inferior da primeira barra e (3) curto na ruptura do baixo do primeiro castiçal.
Com base na leitura desses três requisitos, você pode imaginar que isso não acontece muito frequentemente no mercado, mas quando isso acontece, é outra coisa. O gráfico abaixo descreve essa abordagem.
Bollinger Bands Gap Down Strategy.
Agora vamos dar uma olhada no mesmo tipo de configuração, mas no lado longo. Abaixo está um instantâneo do Google a partir de 26 de abril de 2011. Observe como o GOOG se aproximou da banda superior aberta, teve um pequeno recuo para trás dentro das bandas, depois ultrapassou a alta do primeiro castiçal. Esse tipo de configurações pode ser poderoso se eles acabem montando as bandas.
Bollinger Bands Gap Up Strategy.
Estratégia # 5 - Snap Back to the Middle of the Bands.
Esta estratégia é para aqueles de nós que gostam de pedir muito pouco aos mercados. Essencialmente, você está esperando que o mercado salte as bandas de volta para a linha intermediária.
O que eu gosto sobre esta estratégia é que você terá uma alta porcentagem de vitórias ao longo do tempo.
Você não está obcecado por se posicionar e se balançar a seu favor. Nem você está procurando ser um tipo de profeta e tentar prever o quão longe um estoque deve ou não deve ser executado.
Ao não pedir muito, você poderá tirar o dinheiro com segurança do mercado de forma consistente e, em última análise, reduzir as flutuações selvagens do saldo da sua conta, o que é comum para os comerciantes que assumem grandes riscos.
Médio das Bandas.
A chave para esta estratégia está aguardando um teste da linha média antes de entrar na posição. Você pode aumentar sua probabilidade de colocar um comércio vencedor se você for na direção da tendência primária e há uma quantidade considerável de volatilidade.
Como você pode ver no exemplo acima, observe como o estoque teve uma corrida acentuada, apenas para puxar de volta à linha média. Você gostaria de entrar na posição após a tentativa falhada de quebrar a desvantagem.
Você pode então vender a posição em um teste da banda superior. Se você tem mais apetite por risco, você pode montar as bandas para determinar onde sair da posição.
Estratégia # 6 - Trade Inside the Bands.
Isto é honestamente o meu favorito das estratégias. Se eu lhe desse qualquer outra indicação de que eu preferia um dos outros sinais, esqueça o que eu disse anteriormente.
A maioria do dinheiro a ser feito no mercado, com um risco mínimo está nas margens.
Da mesma forma que dizemos que o futebol é um jogo de polegadas, o comércio é o mesmo.
Você, é claro, pode fazer uma tonelada de dinheiro colocando grandes apostas, mas esses tipos de comerciantes não fazem isso em uma longa carreira comercial (mais de 20 anos).
Primeiro, você precisa encontrar um estoque que esteja preso em uma faixa de negociação. Quanto maior a gama, melhor.
Bollinger Bands Range.
Agora, olhando para este gráfico, sinto uma sensação de tédio se aproximando de mim. Isso é porque é muito mais divertido se contar a si mesmo e outros que você esmagou um comércio de 20% em um dia.
No entanto, da minha experiência, os caras que levam dinheiro do mercado quando se apresenta, são os que estão sentados com uma grande pilha de dinheiro no final do dia.
No exemplo acima, você apenas compra quando um estoque testar a extremidade baixa do seu alcance e a banda inferior. Por outro lado, você vende quando o estoque testa o alto do alcance e a banda superior.
A chave para esta estratégia é um estoque com uma gama de negociação claramente definida. Desta forma, você não está negociando as bandas cegamente, mas está usando as bandas como um meio para avaliar quando uma ação foi muito longe.
Você poderia argumentar que não precisa das bandas para executar esta estratégia. No entanto, ao ter as bandas, você pode validar que uma segurança está realmente em fase plana ou de baixa volatilidade, revisando a aparência das bandas.
Uma maneira mais simples de dizer isso é que as bandas ajudam a validar que o estoque está preso em um intervalo.
Então, ao invés de tentar ganhar grande, você apenas joga o alcance e coleciona todos os seus centavos em cada balanço de preço do estoque.
Qual estratégia funciona melhor?
Esta é a pergunta óbvia para quem lê este artigo.
Para mim, a estratégia número 6 é reduzida, porque você está tirando dinheiro do mercado e tem uma alta porcentagem de vitoria.
Como eu sei que ele tem uma alta porcentagem de vitoria?
Porque você não está pedindo muito do mercado em termos de movimento de preços. A partir da minha experiência pessoal de colocar milhares de negócios, quanto mais lucro você procura no mercado, menos chances você estará certo.
Agora, enquanto a estratégia 6 funciona melhor para mim, e sobre o resto de vocês?
Uma vez que a negociação é uma jornada pessoal, algumas das outras abordagens podem funcionar melhor para o seu perfil de risco.
Abaixo está uma lista rápida dos estilos de negociação e quais são os melhores alinhados às seis estratégias abordadas neste artigo:
Strategy # 1 Double Bottoms - isto é para o técnico puro. O comerciante que vai analisar todo o mercado à procura de uma configuração específica. Isso exigirá muita paciência para identificar a configuração, uma vez que você realmente precisa do segundo fundo para quebrar as bandas para gerar um sinal de compra poderoso. Estratégia # 2 Reversões - chamando todos os meus tomadores de risco. Essa abordagem é fantástica quando você entende corretamente, porque a reversão irá despejar dinheiro em sua conta. No entanto, faça as coisas erradas, e a dor geralmente pode deixá-lo paralisado de qualquer ação. Você precisa ser rápido nos dedos dos pés e disposto a cortar um perdedor sem piscar. Estratégia # 3 Riding the Bands - isso é para todos os meus atacantes em casa. Você deve ter a vontade absoluta de apenas uma proporção média de 20% a 30%, porque você fará todo o seu dinheiro com os grandes movimentos. Isso parece fácil, não é? Bem, tentei sistemas com baixas porcentagens de vitórias e falhei sempre. Isso é porque eu sou um perdedor dolorido. Portanto, não consigo lidar com errado com pouca frequência. Então, se você quer tomar menos ação e pode seriamente lidar com errado oito em dez vezes, esse sistema será perfeito para você. Estratégia # 4 O Squeeze - isso para mim é a melhor configuração para os comerciantes que querem o potencial de lucro de montar as bandas, mas são capazes de ganhar dinheiro rápido à medida que as coisas estão a seu favor. Você pode tomar uma das duas abordagens com a estratégia de aperto. Para os comerciantes mais arriscados, você pode pular antes do intervalo e capturar todos os ganhos. Comerciantes mais conservadores podem aguardar o intervalo e, em seguida, procurar uma configuração de pullback na direção da tendência primária. Estratégia # 5 Playing the Moving Average - esta estratégia é para todos os comerciantes de pullback. Você está procurando estoques que estão crescendo fortemente e depois reagem de volta para a média móvel de 20 períodos. Esta configuração funciona amável quando o dia comercializa o Nikkei e geralmente se desenvolve um pouco depois de quarenta e cinco minutos na sessão. Estratégia # 6 Trading the Range - Eu acho que já elogiei isso. Para mim, trata-se do simples fato de os mercados terem uma faixa de 80% do tempo. Então, se você precisar de emoções, essa estratégia o levará a dormir. Você provavelmente quer se concentrar em # 2, # 3 ou # 4.
O que fazer quando as bandas falhar?
Como qualquer outra coisa no mercado, não há garantias. As bandas de Bollinger podem ser uma ótima ferramenta para identificar a volatilidade em uma segurança, mas também pode ser um pesadelo quando se trata de comerciantes novatos. Não perca a frente, mas vou abordar isso com a experiência pessoal um pouco mais tarde neste artigo.
Como qualquer outro sinal comercial, você precisará sair da sua posição sem reserva.
Não sair do seu comércio quase pode ser desastroso, já que três das estratégias acima mencionadas estão tentando capturar os benefícios de um pico de volatilidade.
Por exemplo, imagine que você é um estoque curto que se inverte de volta aos altos e começa a andar nas bandas. O que você faria?
Deixe-me ajudá-lo se você estiver confuso - mate o comércio!
Enquanto as bandas fazem um ótimo trabalho de encapsular o movimento dos preços, só é preciso um estoque extremamente volátil para mostrar que as bandas não são mais do que a tentativa falhada do homem de controlar o incontrolável.
Conteúdo de bônus.
Além das estratégias, existem alguns itens relacionados às bandas de bollinger que eu preciso cobrir, que lhe fornecerão uma imagem completa do indicador. Estas não são regras rápidas e difíceis, mas as coisas que você precisa considerar como você validar se o indicador for um bom ajuste para você e seu estilo de negociação.
Quais são as configurações Ideal Bollinger Bands?
Independentemente da plataforma de negociação, você provavelmente verá uma janela de configurações semelhante à seguinte ao iniciar sessão no aplicativo.
Configurações de Bollinger Bands.
Se você é novo na negociação, você vai perder dinheiro em algum momento. Esse processo de perda de dinheiro geralmente leva a uma análise excessiva. Embora a análise técnica nos permita identificar as coisas que não são vistas em um ticker, também pode ajudar na nossa morte.
Nos tempos antigos, havia pouco a analisar. Portanto, você pode ajustar o seu sistema até certo ponto, mas não da forma como podemos ajustar continuamente e aperfeiçoar nossa abordagem comercial hoje.
Neste caso, as configurações do indicador de bandas de bollinger. Embora a configuração seja muito mais simples do que muitos outros indicadores, ainda fornece a capacidade de executar testes de otimização ilimitados para tentar espremer o último pedaço de suco do estoque.
O problema com esta abordagem é depois de mudar o comprimento para 19,9 (sim, as pessoas irão para decimais), 35 e voltar para 20; ainda se resume à sua capacidade de gerir o seu dinheiro e reservar um lucro.
O meu forte conselho para você é não ajustar todas as configurações. Na verdade, é melhor ficar com 20, pois esta é a configuração que todos os comerciantes estão usando de qualquer maneira para tomar suas decisões.
Eu sempre gosto de saber o que está acontecendo comigo versus tentando procurar alguma configuração secreta que não existe.
Bollinger Bands Width.
Emparelhar o indicador de largura da banda bollinger com bandas bollinger é como combinar o vinho vermelho perfeito e a combinação de carne que você pode encontrar.
Na seção anterior, falamos sobre ficar longe de mudar as configurações. Bem, se você realmente pensa sobre isso, todo o seu raciocínio para alterar as configurações em primeiro lugar é na esperança de identificar como uma segurança particular provavelmente se moverá com base em sua volatilidade.
Uma maneira muito mais fácil de fazer isso é usar a largura das bandas bollinger. Em suma, o indicador de largura do bb mede o spread das bandas para a média móvel para avaliar a volatilidade de um estoque.
Porque é que isto é importante para ti?
Bem, agora você tem uma leitura real da volatilidade de uma segurança, que você pode usar para voltar atrás em meses ou anos para ver se existem padrões repetitivos de como o preço reage quando atinge extremos.
Ainda não acredita em mim? Dê uma olhada na captura de tela abaixo usando as bandas bollinger e a largura da banda bollinger.
Third Time's the Charm - Bollinger Band Width.
Observe como a largura da banda bollinger testou o nível .0087 três vezes. O outro ponto de nota é que, em cada teste anterior, a alta do indicador produziu uma nova alta, o que implicava que a volatilidade estava se expandindo após cada período de silêncio.
Como comerciante, você precisa separar a idéia de uma leitura baixa com o indicador de largura das bandas bollinger com a diminuição do preço.
Lembre-se, a largura da banda bollinger está informando que um movimento pendente está chegando, a direção e a força estão no mercado.
Neste exemplo, Sciclone Pharmaceuticals (SCLN) teve uma grande corrida de $ 9.75 para 11.12.
Eu não mencionei que este é um gráfico de 5 minutos do SCLN?
Se você tivesse acabado de olhar para as bandas de bollinger, seria quase impossível saber que um movimento pendente estava chegando. Você não teria como saber que .0087 era um nível que existia, muito menos um nível que poderia desencadear um movimento de preços tão grande.
Este é apenas outro exemplo de por que é importante emparelhar bandas de bollinger com outros indicadores e não usá-lo como uma ferramenta autônoma.
Minha experiência pessoal com Bollinger Bands.
Eu acho seguro dizer que as bandas bollinger são provavelmente um dos indicadores técnicos mais populares em qualquer plataforma de negociação.
Se minha memória me sirva corretamente, as bandas de bollinger, as médias móveis e o volume eram provavelmente o meu primeiro gosto da vida.
Bem, a partir de hoje, eu não uso mais bandas bollinger na minha negociação. Isso não significa que eles não podem funcionar para você, acabei de descobrir que meu estilo de negociação exige que eu use um gráfico limpo.
Então, como acabei abandonando as bandas? Bem, deixe-me cavar um pouco mais fundo para que você possa entender minha lógica.
Eu tende a analisar configurações demais; é o que eu faço.
Portanto, quanto mais sinais eu tenho em um gráfico, mais provável eu sentir a necessidade de agir em resposta ao referido sinal. É aqui que as bandas de bollinger expõem minha falha comercial.
Por exemplo, se um estoque explodir acima das bandas, o que você acha que está percorrendo minha mente? Você adivinhou certo, vende!
Na realidade, o estoque só poderia estar começando seu movimento glorioso para os céus, mas eu não consigo lidar mentalmente com o movimento, porque tudo o que eu poderia pensar era que o estoque precisava voltar dentro das bandas.
Day Trading em 2007.
Flashback para 2007, quando eu estava começando no dia comercial; Não fazia ideia do que estava fazendo.
Em vez de tomar o tempo para praticar, estava decidido a obter lucro imediatamente e estava testando diferentes idéias.
Uma das primeiras idéias que coloquei à prova foi as bandas de bollinger.
Por quê? É um dos indicadores mais populares.
Eu decidi comércio de couro cabeludo, e eu vendi toda vez que o preço atingiu as melhores bandas e compra quando atingiu a banda mais baixa. Eu sei, não me julgue, é muito ruim.
Pelo que eu lembro, tentei essa técnica por cerca de uma semana, e no final deste teste, eu fiz Tradestation rico com comissões.
A falha principal na minha abordagem é que eu não combinei bandas bollinger com qualquer outro indicador. Isso me deixou colocando tantos comércios que, no final do dia, minha cabeça estava girando.
O que é necessário para negociar com Bandas Bollinger.
Para aproveitar o poder das bandas de bollinger; você precisa aprender como as bandas interagem com o preço de uma segurança. No final do dia, bandas de bollinger são um meio para medir a volatilidade. Então, não é algo que você pode simplesmente pegar e usar para comprar e vender sinais.
Assim como você precisa aprender padrões de preços específicos, você também precisa descobrir como bandas de bollinger respondem a determinados movimentos de preços.
Essa capacidade de identificar as configurações ajudará você a evitar os falsos sinais dos reais.
Este nível de domínio só vem da colocação de centenas, se não milhares de negócios com os mesmos mercados no mesmo período de tempo.
Bollinger Bandas na Comunidade de Negociação.
Eu fui para a Amazon para procurar os livros mais populares para ver quem são os líderes no espaço.
Sem surpresa, John Bollinger teve o livro mais popular - "Bollinger on Bollinger Bands".
O que me surpreendeu é que não consegui encontrar muitos outros autores ou especialistas famosos no espaço. Não tenho certeza se isso é porque não há muitas pessoas interessadas ou se outros comerciantes ficam fora da arena das bandas de bollinger porque John está tão ativamente evangelizando as bandas.
Os livros que eu encontrei foram escritos por "autores do porão" e honestamente têm menos material do que o que compus neste artigo. A outra sugestão que me fez pensar que esses autores não eram legítimos, é a falta do símbolo de marca registrada após o título das bandas de bollinger, que é exigido por John para qualquer coisa publicada relacionada a bandas de bollinger.
Por outro lado, quando procuro no Elliott Wave, encontro uma série de livros e estudos tanto na web quanto na Amazon Store.
Ainda não tenho certeza do que isso significa exatamente. Com milhões de comerciantes de varejo no mundo, eu tenho que acreditar que existem alguns que estão esmagando o mercado usando bandas de bollinger.
Eu apenas lutava para encontrar líderes de pensamento reais fora de John. Eu escrevo isso para não desacreditar ou negociar crédito com bandas, apenas para informá-lo de como as bandas bollinger são percebidas na comunidade comercial.
Quais são os melhores quadros de tempo para negociação com Bandas Bollinger?
As bandas de Bollinger funcionam bem em todos os prazos. Lembre-se, a ação de preço executa o mesmo, apenas as escalas dos movimentos são diferentes.
Quais são os melhores mercados para Bollinger Bands?
Sem dúvida, o melhor mercado para bandas bollinger é o Forex. Eu digo isso porque as moedas tendem a se mover de forma metódica, permitindo que você mede as bandas e dimensione o comércio efetivamente.
Em seguida, eu classificaria os futuros porque, novamente, você pode começar a dominar o movimento de um determinado contrato.
O último na lista seria ações. O capitão óbvio motivo para este é devido às oportunidades comerciais ilimitadas que você tem ao seu alcance.
Uma coisa é saber como o contrato e-mini responderá à banda baixa enquanto estiver em uma faixa de cinco dias comercial.
É uma história totalmente diferente ter que dimensionar um estoque a partir do próximo em termos de quão bem uma determinada segurança responde às bandas. Haverá algumas ações que simplesmente não se importam e fazem o que quiser.
Conclusão.
Estes são apenas alguns dos melhores métodos para o comércio de bandas de bollinger.
O ponto-chave novamente é que as bandas bollinger você tem o hábito de pensar sobre a volatilidade.
Você precisará fazer o seguinte para levar suas vendas de bollinger para o próximo nível:

Grupo de Treinamento Forex.
Hoje em dia, existem muitos indicadores diferentes disponíveis para negociar o mercado Forex. E parece que, a cada poucos meses, um novo indicador comercial chega à cena. Mas, muitas vezes, esses novos indicadores são apenas algumas variações das versões clássicas. Hoje vamos discutir um dos indicadores comerciais mais robustos que resistiu à prova do tempo. Este é o indicador Bollinger Bands. Vamos discutir os elementos básicos deste indicador, e vou apresentar-lhe algumas estratégias rentáveis ​​de negociação da Bollinger Band.
Bollinger Bands Analysis em Forex.
A banda Bollinger é melhor descrita como um indicador de volatilidade no gráfico. Consiste em bandas superiores e inferiores que reagem às mudanças na volatilidade. As duas bandas envolvem a ação de preço nos extremos superior e inferior. Quando a volatilidade de um determinado par de moedas é alta, a distância entre as duas bandas aumentará. When the volatility of a given currency pair is low, the two bands begin to compress together. The indicator includes a standard 20-period Simple Moving Average which could be used to set entry and exit points of trades.
Bollinger Bands Calculation.
As we noted, the Bollinger Bands trading tool consists of three lines – upper band, lower band, and a middle line.
The middle line is a 20-period Simple Moving Average. It is calculated by summing the closing prices of the last 20 periods and then dividing the result by 20.
The upper line is calculated with a 20-period SMA of the price action and its standard deviation. The lower band is calculated the same way, using the 20-period SMA and its standard deviation. The default standard deviation used is 2. So the Bollinger Band settings is usually expressed as Bollinger (20, 2).
How to Use Bollinger Bands.
Although it is a primarily a volatility indicator, the Bollinger Bands is quite useful in discovering support and resistance areas. The indicator consists of three lines and each of these could demonstrate support/resistance functions, however the double Bollinger Bands consisting of the upper and lower bands are usually better than the center line for this purpose.
There are a few signals that can be generated using the Bollinger Band. These signals respond to different price attitudes on the chart. Let’s go through each of these signals, discussing their potential.
Bollinger Band Squeeze.
When the Bollinger Bands are close to each other, then the trading indicator is conveying to us that the volatility of the Forex pair is relatively low. In this manner, the trading volumes are typically low as well, and the pair is said to be consolidating or ranging rather than trending. This is what we call a Bollinger Band squeeze, because the bands are being “squeezed” tightly together. In most cases, we should avoid trading within very tight price ranges, because they provide significantly less profitable opportunities than during trending phases. The image below shows a classical Bollinger Bands Squeeze.
An important concept to understand in forex trading is that prices will typically move from periods of low volatility to periods of high volatility and back again.
As you see, after the squeeze, the prices breaks out to the downside, and enters a sustained downtrend.
The Bollinger band squeeze breakout provides a good premise to enter the market when the price extends beyond one of the bands. This would provide for support in favor of the range bound market coming to an end and the likelihood of price entering into a new trend phase.
Price Touches the Lower Band.
This is a standard Bollinger Bands signal, which indicates that the price is relatively low/oversold from the volatility standpoint. As a result, a bullish bounce could occur, creating a long trading opportunity. Think of this as a hidden support level based on an extreme volatility reading.
However, if the price starts falling quickly at the lower band instead, and the distance between the two bands continues to increase, then we must be careful of entering a long trade. When the bands are expanding and we see strong price momentum below the lower band, this is a clue that a bearish bias should still be in play.
Price Touches the Upper Band.
The same scenario is in force but in the opposite direction. We look at the upper band as a hidden resistance level based on an extreme volatility reading. However, if the bands expand and the price starts closing candle after candle above the upper band, then we expect further bullish expansion.
Bollinger Bands Moving Average Breakout.
The breakout in the Bollinger Bands Moving Average is a confirmation signal, which usually comes after a price interaction with the bands. If the price bounces from the upper band and then breaks the 20-period SMA in bearish direction, we get a strong short signal. If the price bounces from the lower band and breaks the 20-period SMA upwards, then we get a strong long signal.
In this manner, the 20-period SMA breakout can be used to set exit points after entering a Bollinger Bands trade.
The Bollinger Band chart above summarizes the signals we have discussed. The blue circles point out crucial breakouts through the 20-period Simple Moving Average. The black arrow points out a Bollinger Bands squeeze. The red arrow shows the price trending while breaking the lower Bollinger Band and the green arrow shows up trends on the upper Bollinger Band.
Trading Bollinger Bands.
Now that we are familiar with the structure and the signals of the Bollinger Bands, it is now time to shift our focus a bit, and take a look at a couple of trading strategies that can be incorporated using the Bollinger Bands.
Bollinger Bands with Candlestick Patterns.
One reliable trading methodology utilizing Bollinger Bands, is combining Bollinger Bands and Candlestick analysis. Basically, you could go long after the price touches the low Bollinger Band and then closes with a reversal candlestick pattern. And on the flip side, you could short the Forex pair when the price hits the upper band and then forms a reversal candle.
For this setup, you should place a stop loss order beyond the reversal candlestick. I prefer to close half of the trade when the price reaches the Bollinger Bands Moving Average. The reason for this is that candlestick patterns usually don’t lead to big price reversals, but instead to shorter price moves in general. We can stay in the trade for the other half of the position to take advantage and any prolonged price move. And so in this case, if the price keeps trending in our direction, we can use the Bollinger Bands Moving Average Breakout as an exit signal. However, keep in mind, if you get an earlier confirmation of another reversal pattern, you don’t want to wait for the SMA breakout. Just close the trade right away instead.
Let’s now see how this strategy works.
This is the 4-hour chart of the EUR/USD for Apr 1 – Apr 16, 2014. This chart illustrates a long position initiated by a reversal candlestick chart pattern.
The big black arrow on the chart shows a Bollinger Band squeeze. The bands are relatively close to each other squeezing the price action and the indicator. Afterwards, the price starts to decline. Suddenly, the bands start expanding rapidly during the decrease. Soon we see the price action creating a bullish Tweezers reversal candlestick pattern, which is shown in the green circle on the image. This is a strong long signal occurring at the lower band, and thus creates a nice opportunity to buy the EUR/USD. A stop loss order should be placed below the lowest point of the Tweezers chart pattern as shown on the image.
The price then starts increasing. Six periods later the EUR/USD breaks above the 20-period Bollinger Band Simple Moving Average. This is when 50% of the trade could be closed. The price continues its rally. On the way up we see a few reversal candle patterns. However, they are not confirmed and we disregard them as a potential exit point of the trade. At the end of the price increase we see a Doji reversal candle pattern, which is followed by two bigger bearish candles. The close of the second bearish candle could be taken as the first exit of the trade (Full Close 1). If you decide that this signal is not persuasive enough, you can wait for a breakout in the 20-period Simple Moving Average, which comes 3 periods later.
I would prefer to use the Doji reversal followed by the two bearish candles as an exit point. Even if you think the signal is not persuasive enough it comes 8 hours before the weekly market close. Therefore, this looks like the better option to exit this trade. This way you are protected against weekend risk and big gaps with the Monday opening. In this example, if you decided to wait, you would have fell victim to a 30 pips bearish gap.
Bollinger Band Breakout.
In this trading strategy we will approach situations when the price goes beyond the upper or the lower Bollinger Band. At the same time, the bands should be expanding, which indicates higher volatility. Furthermore, we will include the Volume Indicator in order to enter trades only if volumes are high, or currently increasing with the direction of the trend.
If all these requirements are met, you can open a trade in the direction of the breakout. This tactic allows you to take advantage of rapid price moves caused by high trading volumes and high volatility. You should stay in these types of trades until the price breaks the 20-period Bollinger Bands Moving Average in the opposite direction. Let me now show you how this Bollinger Band trading system works.
Above you see the 4-hour chart of the USD/JPY Forex pair for Mar 29 – Apr 12, 2015. The image illustrates a short trade opportunity based on signals from the Bollinger Bands indicator and the Volume Indicator.
At the beginning of the chart we see the price moving below the 20-period Bollinger Band SMA. However, the two Bollinger Bands are very tight and the volumes are relatively low. Therefore, we would stay out of the market for the time being. Suddenly, the two bands start expanding which is shown by the pink lines on the image. At the same time, the three black arrows point toward an increase in the trading volumes of the USD/JPY. For this reason, we consider this as a nice opportunity for a short position in the Yen.
You should always use a stop loss on this trade, and it should be located above the 20-period Simple Moving Average. This would act as a trailing stop, which means that you would constantly adjust the stop in the bearish direction.
According to our strategy, we should stay in the trade as long as the price is below the 20-period SMA. After we short the USD/JPY the price starts increasing the intensity of its downward movement. The decrease of the USD/JPY is sharp and continues for 6 days.
On April 7, 2015 the USD/JPY reaches its lowest point and starts ranging afterwards. The range continues towards the 20-period Simple Moving Average, which gets broken upwards on April 12. Based on the rules of the strategy, this would be the exit signal and the trade should be closed out at this point.
What is the Best Bollinger Band Strategy?
In my opinion, the better Bollinger Bands trading strategy is the second setup I showed you. The reason for this is that Volatility and Volumes are mutually connected. Therefore, their importance to each other is essential, which in turn, creates reliable signals for trading. When the price is moving strongly beyond one of the bands during high volatility and high trading volumes, then we are likely to see a big price move on the horizon.
In addition, the rules for entering and exiting a trade and clear and straight forward, which makes this Bollinger Bands strategy easy to implement.
The Bollinger Bands with candlestick patterns is a well-regarded strategy as well. However, it is less likely to produce a big price move. Therefore, I suggested the 50% close on the SMA breakout in order to avoid risk of contrary price moves. Some traders prefer this type of trade setup, which is quite fine, so long as the trader understands that this is more of a mean reversion strategy and requires stricter risk management controls.
Conclusão.
The Bollinger Bands is a volatility based indicator. It consists of an upper and a lower band, which react to changes in volatility, and a 20-period Simple Moving Average. The calculation of the two Bollinger Bands involves a 20-period SMA on the closing prices on the chart and a standard deviation on the SMA, usually 2 standard deviations is the normal setting. The signals which could be attained from the Bollinger Bands trading indicator are: Bollinger Bands Squeeze : The two bands are relatively compressed and tight, and we are closing monitoring the eventual breakout direction and volatility expansion. Price Touches the Lower Band: This is a classical buy signal. However, if the price moves below the band, then the decrease is likely to continue on high price volatility. Price Touches the Upper Band: This is a classical sell signal. However, if the price goes above the band, then the increase is likely to continue. Bollinger Bands Moving Average Breakout: This is a standard Moving Average signal. When there is a Bollinger Bands SMA breakout, we get a signal in the direction of the breakout Two of the best Bollinger Bands trading strategies are: Bollinger Bands with Candle Patterns Bollinger Bands Breakout with Volume Indicator The preferred Bollinger Bands trading setup is the Bollinger Bands Breakout with Volume indicator, because: It has clearly stated rules and it is easy to implement. Volatility and Volumes are mutually connected, which gives reliable signals. It leads to bigger and longer-term price trends.
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Double Bollinger Bands Strategy To Trade Forex.
Double Bollinger Bands Strategy is a mechanical trading strategy. It means it doesn’t need analysis and interpenetration to decide whether the formed trade setup is strong enough to enter the market, or it is weak and you’d better to skip it and wait for a better one. It is either black or white. It means either a trade setup is formed which means you should enter the market, or there is no trade setup at all.
Such a mechanical trading system is good for those who have no patience and knowledge for analyzing the markets and locating the trade setups based on the technical analysis or candlestick signals. It just tells them to enter a market or stay out. Therefore, sometimes it can have a very low success rate specially in some months because the markets conditions change and a mechanical trading system can’t be used as reliable tool to trade any market any time. This is what you have to note if you want to use such trading systems.
The reason I am sharing this system here is that some people always ask about it. This system has been introduced to Forex traders as an ultimate trading system that makes money for them consistently. I just want to clarify that it is not the Holy Grail, and because it is mechanical, it can generate consecutive losses sometimes.
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What Is Double Bollinger Bands Trading Strategy?
This trading strategy which is called “Double Bollinger Bands” or DBB, is very simple, because although you use candlesticks in this system, you don’t have to be worried about the candlestick patterns. You don’t have to know the weak and strong candlestick patterns and differentiate them from each other. You don’t have to know anything about technical analysis and other complicated techniques.
In spite of such a simplicity, this trading system can generate more trade setups, while you don’t have to spend any extra time at the computer. You just check the daily charts for few minutes per day, if there is any trade setups based on this system, you take the positions, set the stop loss and target orders, and come back the next day. So, this trading system is good for those who like to take some positions every day and can’t handle a day or a few days of having no trade setup. However, you have to strongly consider that having more trade setups and taking more positions doesn’t necessarily mean more profit. In most cases it means more losses.
You don’t have to spend any extra time and energy to follow this system. You don’t have to manage your positions too. It is a completely mechanical trading system, which means it is either white or black, and it doesn’t need any analysis and interpretation. There is either a trade setup on the chart, so you take your position, or there is no trade setup, and so you check the chart the next day. You don’t have to analyze and consult different time frames, indicators, lines and… to decided whether you should go for the trade setup or you’d better to skip it because it is not a strong trade setup. It is not like that at all. There are only two conditions: (1) there is a trade setup formed on the chart, so that you take it, and (2) there is no trade setup on the chart, so that you check it again the next day. It doesn’t take you more than a few seconds to check each chart and see whether there is any trade setup already formed or not.
How Does The Double Bollinger Bands Strategy Work?
All you have to do is adding two sets of Bollinger Bands indicator. That is why this trading system is called “Double Bollinger Bands Trading Strategy”.
Use the default settings for the first Bollinger Bands:
In this article, I refer to this Bollinger Bands indicator as BB2, because its deviations is set to 2.
The “deviations” of the second BB indicator, has to be set to 1:
In this article, I refer to this Bollinger Bands indicators as BB1, because its deviations is set to 1.
So the only difference of these two Bollinger Bands is in the deviations settings. The first one is set to 2 and the second one is set to 1.
That is all you have to have on your charts. After adding the BB indicators, your chart should look like this:
The outer BB has the default settings and its deviations is set to 2. The inner BB is the one that its deviations is set to 1. The Bollinger Middle Band will be the same, because deviations settings has nothing to do with it. Of course, in this trading system we don’t use the Bollinger Middle Band. We only use it to hold the positions to maximize our profit, but it has no role in forming the trade setups and taking the positions.
Double Bollinger Bands Trading Strategy is good for trading the trending, as well as the ranging and sideways markets.
Here is how the trade setups form based on the Double Bollinger Bands Trading Strategy:
Long Trade Setups:
To go long (to buy), you have to wait for one of the candlesticks to close above the BB1 upper band. Then you should check the previous two candlesticks to see whether their close prices are below the BB1 upper band or not. If so, you have a long trade setup (buy signal). Please see the below chart. It is USD/JPY daily chart. As you see, candlestick #3 is closed above BB1 upper band, and at the same time the two previous candlesticks (#1 and #2) are closed right below BB1 upper band. This is a long trade setup. It means you should buy at close of candlestick #3:
Stop loss has to be set at the low price of the candlestick which has pierced the BB1 upper band (I mean candlestick #3), and the target can be at least twice of the stop loss size (2 x SL). You can move the stop loss to breakeven if the price moves according to the trade setup for 1 x SL. For example, when your stop loss is 60 pips, then you can move the stop loss to breakeven if the price goes up for 60 pips. Of course I will tell you how to trail the price to maximize the profit in case you don’t want to get out with a 2 x SL target.
Here is another example of a long trade setup:
Another example of a long trade setup on EUR/USD daily chart:
Sometimes, candlestick #3 not only breaks above the BB1 upper band, but also reaches the BB2 upper band too. This happens when the security is trending strongly:
This also occurs when there is a strong uptrend and we are not already in:
Note: When candlestick #3 is too long, you can set the stop loss higher than its low price, not to have a too wide stop loss.
Short Trade Setups:
To go short (to sell), you have to wait for one of the candlesticks to close below the BB1 lower band. Then you should check the previous two candlesticks to see whether their close prices are above the BB1 lower band or not. If so, you have a short trade setup (sell signal), and you can go short (sell) at close of the candlestick which has broken below the BB1 lower band.
Candlestick #3 on the below chart has closed below BB1 lower band while candlesticks #1 and #2 have closed above it. This is a short trade setup. Like the long trade setups, the stop loss has to be set at the high price of candlestick #3, and target can be at least twice of the stop loss size (2 x SL). You can move the stop loss to breakeven if the price goes down for 1 x SL.
How To Maximize Your Profit?
As I explained above, this trading system is good in catching the trends. Therefore, you’d better to take the advantage of the strong movements and maximize your profit.
When there is a strong trade setup, you can also take two positions with the same stop loss, when there is a trade setup based on the Double Bollinger Bands trading system. Set a 2 x SL target for the first position, and no target for the second one. If the first position hits the target, move the second’s position stop loss to breakeven and hold it.
In case of a long position, hold the second position as long as the candlesticks form between the BB1 and BB2 upper bands, or above the Bollinger Middle Band. Close the second position when candlesticks start crossing the BB1 upper bands, or when one of the candlesticks breaks below the Bollinger Middle Band:
In case of a short position, hold the second position as long as the candlesticks form between the BB1 and BB2 lower bands, or below the Bollinger Middle Band. Close the second position when candlesticks start crossing the BB1 and BB2 lower bands, or when one of the candlesticks breaks above the Bollinger Middle Band:
Of course, markets don’t trend all the time. Indeed they trend 30% of the time. It means you should not expect to make hundreds of pips from each trade setup. You can trail the stop loss if you like. For example when your initial stop loss is 80 pips, then you can move your stop loss further for every 80 pips that it moves accordingly.
What Time Frame?
Double Bollinger Bands Trading Strategy works on all time frames, but I use it on the daily and longer time frames, because it is easier, safer and more profitable. Never think that you will make more profit if you apply this trading system on 5min or 15min charts. Trading the shorter time frames is nothing but headache, and you will not make more profit.
I spend about 15-30 minutes checking the charts every day, but I am more profitable than day traders who sit at the computer for several hours per day, every day.
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your strategy looks great, I like that I can use it with Chris strategy together. Obrigado 😉
I read your article again, and I would like to ask you one question, are there any specific rules for ranging and sideways markets?
No. It is the same with trending and ranging markets.
Looks like a very simple and stress free system. I will surely try this one out. Muito Obrigado!
welcome back Kamal. I love articles along with Chris ones. You`r are always interesting one . Chris himself says “Kamal is tricky as trading on Middle BB is”
Ótimo artigo! Whole trading system in one page with easy words…. Very much helpful for beginner like me. I will increase my investment using this strategy. Will start following this strategy from the beginning of next week.
Thanks a lot for your great article…. 😀
Thank you for this article Kamel and God bless you.
Thank you, Kamel.
Thank you Kamel, looks interesting and simple. Is there no use for the BB2 middle band in this strategy?
hi Kamel…thanks for yet another eye opening article..i have one request Kamel please dont stay too long without writing something for us…you guys are exceptional!
Thank you Kamal for sharing.
where can i find Chris trading system?
plz give me link.
thank you chris.
thank you chris.
Glad to see you back Kamel. Obrigado por compartilhar este & # 8211; it looks great!
I have used this with great results. I do add a third BB with a deviation of 3. It acts as a very strong support and resistance levels.
Obrigado pelo seu comentário e bem-vindo ao LuckScout 🙂
Triple bollinger band trading system. 😀 lol.
Hi Kamel thanks for a great article as always. I do have one question though:
In an uptrend, if your #3 candle closes above the BB1 and the #1 and #2 candles closed below the BMB, will it affect the trade setup?
Sim. It will not be the typical trade setup that I like to take.
Just had to say thanks for a new trading system. I will be giving it a go.
very good to see you back . there are two things that make question here:
q1: according to this new trading strategy, on the USD/JPY daily chart ( AT THE END OF THE ARTICLE) we can go long near (3) because of white strong candlestick form and break out the BB1 upper band and two previous candlesticks closed below BB1 upper band.
q2:same as above we should sell below the position (4) because of forming shooting star candle stick which breakout BB1 lower band and two previous candles that closed upper BB1 lower band. why it is not happened and you did not based on new strategy.
Obrigado pela resposta.
Hi Behnam. I am sorry but I don’t understand what your question is exactly.
Hi Kamel, Many thanks to you for sharing your simple trading system, God bless you all, just a question ….what pairs are better to be traded by this system?
All pairs listed here:
Hi Kamel / Chris.
Kamal – thank you for what looks like a great strategy – and thank you Chris for Kamel.
Kamel – would you please look at the candle EURUSD for 2014-10-30 – if this were traded, (and it seems to comply with the system – except that candle 1 closed below the BMB), then it would be stopped out – would you please advise what you would do? & # 8211; the move was potentially a powerful one (320Pips to the open order’s first exit point) and ran between bands BB2 & BB1.
Olá Peter. I think the candlestick date should be different that what you mentioned. Please check and let me know.
Thanks for your attention – you are right – I had both the date and pair wrong – it was the 2013-10-30 candle on the USDJPY daily chart – thank you for looking at this.
Yes, that is a good example of a long setup.
But it would clearly get stopped out by the 2013/11/07 candle (even so the 2 x profit target may have scraped in) – as it would be stopped.
I was wondering how you would handle it – if you had had this trade on?
Would you just let the stop happen?
And then would you consider a re-entry based on the size of the 2013/11/08 candle plus the close of the 2013/11/06 candle being practically on the BB1 line?
OR would this revert to a possible BMB continuation entry condition?
It is a very interesting group of candles – in view of the rules.
Desculpa. If you mean 2013.10.30 candlestick on USD/JPY I would not take it because 2013.10.28 candlestick closed below BMB. Compare this with 2014.07.29 trade setup on USD/JPY daily chart, and you will see what I mean.
Thank you Kamel – I see –
the move strength of the 2013-10-30 setup was weakened by candle 1 not making the “close under upper BB1 rule” & # 8211; the move started but due to a weak setup, lost motion and handed back control to the bears. Looking at it again, I see that bullish control only came in suddenly with the 2013/11/08 candle – but without a DBB set up.
However, the 2014-07-29 setup was a strong enough setup to make 3 x stop – and even though control was given back to the bears – the candles were mostly small doji’s or bearish with longer lower shadows – all indicating that stronger bullish pressure was afoot.
And this can be then seen with the 19 August 2014 DBB set up, which maintained bullish control, going on to make 595pips (for the second open order) until the first exit point – a ‘close below upper BB1’ in accordance with the rules.
Thank you I see.
You are welcome.
First, my regards to Chris, Initially, i found it hard to understand the morale of this wonderful community, but now i realized it is simple ‘BEST THINGS IN LIFE ARE FREE’.
To Kamel and Chris, please stay alive guys, we need you here.
Obrigado pelo seu comentário e bem-vindo ao LuckScout 🙂
God bless you with this an eye opening and the regards you have for Chris!
For giving such a huge strategy free without taking a dime God will replenish you with wisdom and knowledge like he did to Solomon.
And to Chris, More grease to your elbow and wishing you the best life can offer.
We all your fans appreciate you and wish you good health and prosperity.
from Abeokuta Ogun State Nigeria.
Obrigado. Same nice wishes to you and your family too 🙂
Thanks for the kind sharing. is it necessary to have three candlesticks for the setup? What if there will only be two candlestick before the setup, will that setup still be a valid one?
I can work, but experience shows that this system returns the best result the way I explained above.
Thanks a lot Kamel.
Would you please advised if the pair EUR/AUD just closed last week on 2014.10.24 on a Daily chart.
I noticed candlestick on 2014.10.24 closed below Lower BB1 and two subsequent candlestick before 2014.10.24 , closed above Lower BB1. Hence, is this a valid Bearish (sell) setup?
Thank you very much of your introduction of another enhance setup!
Candlestick 2014.10.24 is not closed below Lower BB1. This is not a short setup at all.
dear kamel how to use this stratagey in sideways and ranging markets as you have mentioned above in your article.
Exactly the same rules have to be applied to the ranging market. When a setup forms we don’t know if the market keeps on ranging or we are at the beginning of a strong trend. We take the setup, and move the SL to breakeven on time. Then we sit back and watch. Time will tell if we will have a trend, or the price will turn around and stay in the range zone.
Thank you for sharing this with us. You guys are awesome people. I am new to these, did a lot of wrong things, hence have not been profitable yet. However, you guys gave me hope and the believe that all is going to be ok. I am addicted to Chris’s post every day and the comments very informative too.
Than you Tan. Welcome 🙂
Thank you and welcome to LuckScout 🙂
dear Kamel is it must to have two candels closed below the BB1 . If # 1 candel is closing below the MB, # 2 candel is closing just below the BB1 in an uptrend . and the #3 candel is closing above the BB1 . will it be valid trade setup to trade long .
Hey Vinod, It is still a setup, but you’d better to go for the typical setups I explained above. Let’s keep it as simple as possible and not to have too many exceptions and extra rules.
Hi Kamel, Great article. Boa estratégia. Bem vindo de volta. Would like your daily post.
Hi Kamel, Thank you for sharing his. It’s a great way for entering a trending market without having to wait for a typical strong set up.
For learning to identify the setup validity. Is the pair GBPCHF on monthly closed candlestick on 2014.05.01(closed above BB1) with previous 2 candlestick 2014.04.01 and 2014.03.01 (both closed below BB1) , as a valid BULLISH(Buy) setup ?
Apology, I did not indicated properly of previous GBPCHF monthly chart. It should all at UpperBB1.
Another pair for learning again. AUDCHF weekly chart. Candlestick closed on 2014.10.05 was below LowerBB1. 2 candlestick before (2014.09.28 & 2014.09.21) closed above LowerBB1. So, is these a valid SHORT setup ?
Thank you for your time and valuable effort, appreciate very much.
2014.10.05 candlestick on AUDCHF weekly, is a short setup.
Dear Chris and KAMEL.
Thank you kamel for a very brilliant post. I’m so proud and pleased to be associated with such loving and kind hearted people like you. Please never stop writing to us. I read these posts with the greatest of pleasures!
Could you gentlemen kindly explain the BB head fake to me and how it might be involved in ‘our’ beautiful trading system? I just would like to hear how you gentlemen explain this phenomenon.
I look forward to your response.
Once again, Kamel… Obrigado! From the very bottom of my heart. I wish you both long and continued success in everything you do.
Boy! Aren’t we all just so lucky to have these guys guide and care for us. I know I am. Obrigado.
Chris & Kamel… Stay well and take good care of yourselves for our sake.
Thank you for your comment and kind words.
I don’t think that BB head fake can make serious problems for us. We have to be aware that our stop loss can be triggered sometimes with any trading system we follow. In case of BB head fake, in most cases it can not affect our positions, because we move our stop loss to breakeven as soon as the price moves for 1SL toward the target.
Hi Chris & Kamel.
Once again Thank You.
question on the AUDCAD daily chart 2014-10-24 candle – currently in Chris’s system we are short – the current candle looks ominous against the trade and this is also now a long set up under Kamel’s system?
No, it is not a long setup. 2014.10.24 candlestick is closed below BB1 upper band.
Hi Kamel – thank you for answering – I am sorry to have wasted your time – I did not check MT4 platform – I used a candle from my brokers data (not MT4) which had the daily 2014/10/24 candle closing the high at 0.9850 which is above the BB1. Hence my concern. Sorry to waste your time - However, I did not waste mine as it has shown me to be more careful and always check MT4 – closing times obviously have a considerable impact and it reinforces what Chris says – “until the candle closes …. we do not know where it will finish”. In this case I happened to be watching at 10mins to close and the price was equally performing on both MT4 and my other platform. I am very surprised and a bit confused at this revelation.
Olá Peter. You did not waste my time at all. I will be happy to help. The daily candlestick close time is very important. Any platform you use, make sure that daily candlesticks close at 5pm est.
The W1 of EURAUD closed above BB1 on 2014.10.12 so we go long on 2014.10.19 (W1) and this SL triggered?
Sim. Your SL will be triggered sometimes. This is the only thing I can guarantee.
re stop loss triggered sometimes – & # 8221; this is the only thing I can guarantee ” This has to be the most honest thing I have ever heard from a mentor of trading. Perfeito! And as Chris says – nothing is sure in anything – The old saying ‘ its as sure as a Suisse Bank ‘ was even stopped out. I’m not sure if the watches still hold up though?
Olá Peter. Obrigado. Trading is nothing but taking risks. Where the price will move when we enter is what we really don’t know. The only thing we can do is limiting our risks and losses. There is no doubt that our stop loss will be triggered sometimes. This is what we can not do anything about. Something that makes us profitable at the end of the month is that we enter properly, make our losses small, and our gains big. If so, and if we trade the way I explained above, even if we win 51% of the time, we will end up the month with profit.
And the AUDJPY W1 2014.10.12 short trade still valid?
If so it’s against with Mr. Christ set up?
Chris reported a short trade setup formed by 2014.09.07 candlestick on the weekly chart.
Is it still valid after closed W1 with strong bull candle 2014.10.19 (after a doji 2014.10.12)?
Hi David, The only short trade setup on AUD/JPY was formed by 2014.09.07 candlestick and reported by Chris on 2014.09.14 here: luckscout/strong-trade-setups-carnival/
There is no short trade setup on 2014.10.12. Actually a long trade setup is formed by 2014.10.12 and 2014.10.19 candlesticks.
I would like to say Thank you for your new method. Its very kind of you sharing with us. Anyway I have a question regarding your new system. In spite of opening the new trade( either long or short), does the 3rd candlestick have to be a long candle stick? Can it be a short one? Also, in case of the 3rd candle stick breaking the BB2 with very long bullish or bearish candle stick, is it still the right time to go long or short? Will it be effective?
You are welcome.
1. No, it doesn’t have to be a long candlestick.
2. It will be riskier. I don’t take it.
Is this method (DBB) still valid as bb is squeezing? Does it have to be applied while BB is expanding?
Can the 3rd candlestick be closed in other forms than full bullish or bearish form? Is it still valid if the 3rd is closed as a doji?
The candlestick close price is important. In this system we don’t care about the candlestick form.
You can use it whenever you see a trade setup as described above.
your article about candlesticks shadows was one of the best articles i have ever read about. thanks for you good articles.
i have one question. usually a good Long trade setup formed when candlesticks break Bollinger lower band. i mean a good uptrend usually start from Bollinger lower band and go up to Bollinger upper band. in this method we lost half way of an uptrend.
am i right or i misunderstood the method?
obrigado novamente.
Yes, you are right. In DBB system, we ride the trend when it has already formed and moved sometimes for several candlesticks. But the good thing is that we ride the trend when it is almost proven that a trend is started.
With this trategy, if the stop loss get triggered, do we re-enter or we just wait for the next one?
Hi Abbas. We will have to wait for another setup.
Nice and simple trade system! In regards to your exit/SL, do you typically trail your SL or just wait for the candle to cross back over the BMB/BB1 to exit? You mentioned both options but it appears that you prefer to wait for the cross back rather than trailing the stop. I guess waiting for the cross back allows for the bigger trend runs but the trailing stop prevents you loosing your profit if a trend doesn’t happen.
Hi Daniel. I sometimes move my SL further, but I don’t take it too close to the market movements to give enough room for the price fluctuations.
Thank you so much for your effort.
Could you tell me the candlesticks (#1 and #2) are MUST closed between BB1 and BB Middle Band or they just need close anywhere above/below BB Middle Band?
It is better if they close between BB1 and BMB, like the examples I showed you above. It would better if candles #1 and #2 close right below BB1 upper band in case of long, and above BB1 lower band in case of short trade setups. This is the typical trade setup.
Thanks a lot for the great strategy, it looks good.. But, are there any special tips or tricks for this strategy? I tried to do this strategy with 4H timeframe on multiple pairs but I got more losses than gains..
There is no tips and tricks. It is as simple as it is explained above. Trade the daily, weekly and monthly time frames using this strategy and look for the trade setups exactly as it is explained above. You will have a lot more gains than losses.
I have read all your articles. They are brilliant. I am glad that you are writing and generously share more awesome knowledge again.
I have one question about the DBB. I would to know the logic behind this trade set up. It would be very useful to understand the mechanism of how the price react to it. This is not I don’t believe your trade set up . I feel this is another effective trade set up and yet very simple which accounts for both statistics and the market psychology, thus I would like to know it better in details.
I understand that 1SD and 2SD can be interpreted as probability under normal distribution, 68% and 95% with regard to the price’s volatility.
So, does it mean that while the price move within the range of midBB and BB1 (normal market), and then suddenly the price pierce through the BB1 (go out of the range 68% confident interval, 1SD) indicates that the bull start to gain power and take control of the bear?
Do I understand it correctly? Please correct me.
About the logic behind this strategy, honestly I don’t know more than what you explained. This strategy is not invented by me. I initially learned it from Chris and other senior traders, but I used more seriously than the others. I know that there are so many traders who use this strategy.
It’s cool Kamel….. Thank to kamel and Chris for Sharing such a great Trade setups…
Good Luck you all…..
You are welcome Asiri 🙂
Awesome article. Keen to give it a go.
Just a question, I noticed on 2 of your long trade setup examples that either candle 1 or candle 2 were closed above BB1, but you mentioned that we have a setup if these are both closed below BB1. How critical is this?
Thanks in advance for your reply, and also thanks a million times for the unselfish efforts of Chris and yourself in helping us become profitable traders.
You are welcome and thank you too.
Are you sure that candles #1 and #2 are closed above BB1 upper band? Eu não penso assim. Please check one more time.
Also here is more explanations:
thank you so much for your insight guys, i have been a victim of day trading and it does shatter your confidence when you trade smaller time frames…the irony is when i take a short position and then close it because its gone against me, at the end of the trading day, if i had of kept the position with the bias of being short, i would have made a lovely 60 pips, instead i took a loss of 20 pips because my time frame of 15 mins stopped me out…
this stuff you guys teach is priceless…
Thank you for your comment and welcome to LuckScout.
Glad to hear you like our articles.
Thank you for sharing another strategy.
Is it really profitable? Could you please share its characteristics (especially profit factor, possibly loss rate (stop loss hit at its initial place)) based on your experience?
It’s so mechanical that it can be automated relatively easily, and backtest on the daily chart. I will do it as my time allows, and will share my results here.
If one trades exactly as it is explained above, yes it is profitable even if only 51% of the setups hit the 2 x SL target. I have not calculated the profit factor, but it has worked for me for years.
I would be really interested in even a rough indication of how profitable this system has been for you. Like an average of 0-5% per month, 15-20% per month, or somewhere in between?
It would boost my confidence a lot if i knew that someone has used this for years with decent profit.
Oh boy….Hi Kamel. I bet when you and Chris discussed whether or not to share this strategy then Chris probably warned you about all the feedback you would get about this…..lol! It took me 15 minutes just to read this post.
Hey Pete. Obrigado também.
Today I just try your DBB system on GBPUSD H4.. Happy to said it worked.. It hit 2 x SL target (long position).. Next I will try in bigger time frame.. Many thanks to you for your simple technic..
Bom para você. We just reported that trade setup as an example. It is too late to enter now:
Actually I already take position & enter at the right time plus already take the profit.. I will try find more setups in bigger time frame.. Cheers..
Bom para você. We were late.
Really easy and interesting system. Keeping it simple stupid. I really am interested in following the system.
However, I have questions:
1. Following the system, how can we afford consolidations and little trend pull backs?
2. Must candlesticks 1 and 2 form and close under the BB1 or only close under it (Long Setup)?
3. Can you please give us an approximate win rate of this strategy ?
Your system simply super.
Dear Chris & Kamel.
Thanks a million times. Most of the people these type of secrets are sodding very high price. But you are generously helping to willing people.
Jesus Bless you & your family abundantly.
Thank you Alwin 🙂
Hi Alwin. Thank you and welcome to LuckScout 🙂
Kamel I need to test this in demo really enjoy all your articles thanks again mate . Sorry I slow to respond taking a holiday best John.
Hi Kamel and Chris.
Firstly I am new to and and have recently came across your page in the last few days. I wish to thank both of you for sharing with all of us I will be putting this system to work today and will continue to read your articles which I find extremely interesting and simple thank you again guys I hope some day I can be a successful trader.
The double bollinger band if not mistakenly was from Kathy Lien, right?
I would like to know that have you develop the drawdown % for the DDB system?
Many thanks Kamel.
We have been using this system for 15 years. Almost all professional trader know about this system. It is neither invented by us, nor any other known person.
No, I don’t have the drawdown %.
Thanks kamel. The way you reply was so impressed! haha.
I got a doubt on candlestick chart. I found that different brokers provide different trading hours thus it would affect the form of candlestick.
if like that, may i know which is the best timing to follow? GMT-5? GMT+2? or any other?
What server timing your broker offer to you?
You are welcome.
We use GMT+2 platforms.
Hi Kemal , I really love this BB system, its great, but there are just not enough setups in week over 19 pairs for me to trade it full time .. But what you guys are sharing here is really great, thanks you very much . Michael..
Hi..thank you so much for the report. Can you kindly let me know if the close of third candle is above BB1 upperhand and close of previous two candles are below BB1 LOWER hand….what stand I should take.
Thank you so much in advances.
There are clear rules on forming the trade setups. They are explained above. What you mentioned cannot be known as a trade setup.
Just getting clarification on DBB strategy.
This is what was said in the article “To go long (to buy), you have to wait for one of the candlesticks to close above the BB1 upper band. Then you should check the previous two candlesticks to see whether their close prices are below the BB1 upper band or not.”
My question is in a long situation, whether the two prior candlestics (the ones below BB1) need to be bullish candles or can they have their close prices lower than the open prices?
They don’t have to be bullish. The just need to be closed at the right place.
This DBB strategy is really a wonderful trading system! Thank you for sharing with us your wealth of knowledge and systems. 🙂
I’m practicing using the DBB system and had one winning trade already. A good one, Short, GBPJPY 12/16/14, $1106 profit. However, a later trade, Short, NZDUSD after the 12/17/14 candlestick, (Daily chart), closed below lower BB1 with Candles #1 and #2 closing above LBB1, went sour. I interpreted this situation as a Short trade setup since it conformed, as I understand, to the DBB Trading rules. The trade went against me and hit SL after going up rather than down. It’s still going up!
What did I miss in evaluation of the setup.
I’ll appreciate your comments/criticism.
It was not a typical short setup, but still a short setup. Please see the above examples and you will see the difference.
While I sincerely appreciate your mentoring, even as I strive to comprehend the DBB strategy, presently, I am very confused: referencing the USDJPY Daily, the 2014.12.16 candle clearly closed below LBB1 while candles #1 & #2 closed above it. Now, according to the rules in the above article, this should constitute a “Short” trade setup. Yet, as you can see form the chart, price has moved “up”, from the suggested entry point,(close of candle #3), some 2500 pips as of 12/18/14, 0013hrs, UTC.
Could you please help me clarify this confusion.
If you prefer please reply privately to my email.
Kind regards and many thanks for your mentoring.
Hi Jeng , Michael this cool site and saw your here not Kamel , I was just sitting here catching up on some reading and saw your post . If I may answer you ?
They way I would interpret this is , on Daily ,
The candle on 12th did not close below mean the 20 and was a indecision candle spinning top. The candle on the 15th did .
But also, this has been a strong up trend for long time on daily, weekly, and monthly ?
So based on all things, mainly the rules of BB. The candle did not close below the 20 , this is not a sell. Not sure how to give a picture of this anyways ..
Hope that helps .. Michael…
There is never a guarantee where the price will go, even with a perfect trade setup. No trader in the world can predict prices. There are probabilities only.
By picking only the optimal setups, you filter out a lot of bad trades (and some good ones as well, but overall, profitability should increase).
Then there is another article with some more general DBB rules explained further, maybe you’ve already read it: luckscout/dbb-trading-system-rules-for-long-and-short-trade-setups/
In your example, candle #2 is good, but candle #1 isn’t, because it closes above the middle band. Also candle #3 closes almost below the lower BB2 which is also not optimal, but still acceptable (these extra rules are explained in the second article i linked. I have just begun to use them myself.
Hi Jeng , I meant to type , This is Michael not Kamel, and was just reading some posts , not sure what happened there in begging of my comment , but the rest of post is straight ..
Is DBB recommended to be traded only on Daily or can we apply it to Weekly and Monthly please? If yes, how exactly do we trade it on Weekly and Monthly?
Yes, DBB can be applied to weekly and monthly time frames. The rules are exactly the same.
Obrigado pela sua resposta. What I actually mean to ask is following the rules on weekly and monthly would require huge stop loss setting and was thinking there could be a way to trade it on daily. So is best to leave it if cannot be traded according to rules?
If your account cannot handle wide stop loss orders, then you’d better to forget about trading the long time frame. Of course, trading the shorter time frames also increase the risk.
hi, thanks for sharing such posts. this is a great and simple method but i tested some recent charts with it and it had some wrong trades too. so how should we reduce the loss trades of this method? look at following pictures for example :
and it should complete more as it doesn’t detect some of great trends.
it is not a rule for every pairs and correct every time but some times it shows huge profits.
Any trading system generates some losses sometimes and cannot be profitable all the time. Also any trading system misses good and strong movements sometimes. Please read my most recent article about this system:
Thank you for sharing this knowledge I’ll be sure to keep this spirit as i grow and become more confident and profitable. I noticed that in some daily chart examples there are five bbs and four in others, is this due to zooming while captured? Obrigado novamente.
Yes, it is because of zooming.
I apologize if my questions have answers in the comment’s I normally try to read the entire page to keep redundant questions off you guys but honestly its late and my batteries is about to die and the power is so i want to get it posted and i value every word on this blessed blog. I noticed in the going short chart examples a cpl had candles one and two closed a little above bb1? The only reason I could think of would be they formed strong patterns like in the bb break out system. obrigado.
I have backtested your strategy, here are my remarks:
& # 8211; first 2 candles doesn’t play role in the strategy and are useless, as they are filtering out many otherwise profitable trades.
& # 8211; using breakeven in this strategy is significantly reducing performance of the trading system.
& # 8211; BB2 is not necessary, doesn’t improve profitability in any way.
Following best backtest results i got is based on the strategy rules:
& # 8211; if previous candle opened below BB1 upperband and closed above BB1 upperband.
& # 8211; stoploss goes below previous candle low.
& # 8211; if previous candle opened above BB1 lowerband and closed below BB1 lowerband.
& # 8211; stoploss goes above previous candle high.
Takeprofit should be set to 8x – 10x (open price – stoploss ) distance.
& # 8211; if previous candle closed below BB1 middleband.
& # 8211; if previous candle closed above BB1 middleband.
EURUSD, backtest 1999 – 2014, starting capital 10000 USD.
1999: 40 [-0.4709 %] -47.0910 (9952.9092)
2000: 37 [13.4727 %] 1340.9209 (11293.8301)
2001: 50 [-16.2283 %] -1832.8000 (9461.0303)
2002: 47 [37.3463 %] 3533.3459 (12994.3760)
2003: 45 [77.4461 %] 10063.6426 (23058.0195)
2004: 50 [6.0964 %] 1405.7102 (24463.7305)
2005: 47 [4.4194 %] 1081.1555 (25544.8867)
2006: 41 [11.6208 %] 2968.5081 (28513.3945)
2007: 46 [15.6369 %] 4458.5991 (32971.9922)
2008: 39 [20.1819 %] 6654.3691 (39626.3594)
2009: 43 [-12.3807 %] -4906.0059 (34720.3516)
2010: 44 [17.1850 %] 5966.6978 (40687.0508)
2011: 48 [5.0655 %] 2060.9893 (42748.0391)
2012: 44 [-7.9236 %] -3387.2031 (39360.8359)
2013: 54 [12.2980 %] 4840.5811 (44201.4180)
2014: 39 [0.2107 %] 93.1342 (44294.5508)
TotalNetProfit (Gross Profit – Gross Loss): 34294.5625 (148142.9375 – 113848.3828)
Maximal drawdown: 23.9278% (5469) [17387.5176, 22856.5977]
Profit factor: 1.3012.
Total trades: 714.
Profitable trades (% of total): 215.0000 (30.1120 %), Average profit: 689.0369, Largest profit: 3856.3274, Average duration: 23.1535 candles.
Breakeven trades (% of total): 0.0000 (0.0000 %)
Losing trades (% of total): 499.0000 (69.8880 %), Average loss: -228.1531, Largest loss: -467.1993, Average duration: 5.1864 candles.
Long Positions (won %): 117.0000 (54.4186 %)
Short Positions (won %): 98.0000 (45.5814 %)
Good that you backtested it.
How much did you risk per trade to get to these results?
How is it going with your modified DBB ?
I am a novice starter and still loosing money :), Thank you very much for this site it is educating me a lot.
I have a question for Kamel in the above article when you mention.
“move the second’s position stop loss to breakeven and hold it.”
I couldn’t understand the breakeven idea .. I mean How? can you please explain further.. or if there is a link that I can look at for detailed explanation ..
Breakeven is the entry price. You can move the stop loss to breakeven when your position is in profit. If so, your position will be closed with no loss if the price goes against you.
Do i understand correctly, you wait until the daily candle closes and at that moment you make a decision? Or is it possible to look at the candles on a different time during the day and act then? For me the daily candles close at 6 in the morning so i would have to wake up early (and yes, if you say it’s necessary, then i will set my alarm clock early 😛 ).
You can use this method on any time frame, but daily and longer time frames return better results because they are stronger.
It is OK if you check the daily chart even at 8 am because usually markets don’t move that much during that two hours.
This is a good news for me too as I have to wake up 3.30AM in the local time.
I found this a bit confusing:
“In case of a long position, hold the second position as long as the candlesticks form between the BB1 and BB2 upper bands, or above the Bollinger Middle Band. Close the second position when candlesticks start crossing the BB1 and BB2 upper bands, or when one of the candlesticks breaks below the Bollinger Middle Band.”
In the first sentence, the “or above the Bollinger Middle Band” seems to suggest that candlesticks between the middle band and BB1 upper band are fine and the position shouldn’t be closed. The second sentence says the opposite? Maybe that paragraph (and the corresponding one about shorts) could be clarified a little.
That was a mistake. It had to be:
Close the second position when candlesticks start crossing the BB1 upper bands…
“Close the second position when candlesticks start crossing the BB1 and BB2 upper bands, or when one of the candlesticks breaks below the Bollinger Middle Band”
Does this rule still apply if this happens between SL and the profit target of the first position?
What i mean: there’s a buy signal and i open two positions. The first one’s target (at 2xSL) is hit, leaving just the second position. The price doesn’t go higher, but instead falls to between the old profit target and the SL (which has now moved to break even) and here candles close below the BB1 upper band (but this is still above break even). Do i follow the rule i quoted, or do i leave the position open until break even is hit or until it goes above the old 2xSL profit target?
Sorry for the wall of text for a single question, but some details are not clear to me.
1. That part is fixed. So now it is: Close the second position when candlesticks start crossing the BB1 upper bands, or when one of the candlesticks breaks below the Bollinger Middle Band…
2. Please look at the below chart and let me know if it is possible to have the scenario you mentioned here on this chart or not:
2. I cannot find the chart where i saw that scenario, but i made an attempt to ‘photoshop’ something together: i. imgur/rDP2wgd. png.
In this situation, would you close the second position, because the most recent candles are closing below BB1, even though you’re below the TP of the first position? What about if the next candle closes below the middle band, but above the B/E?
Yes, I would close the second position.
During my daily round i noticed that i may have been doing something wrong since i started with the DBB strategy (less than a week ago). I was moving the SL of both positions to break even when the price moved 1xSL in my favor. But now that i read the article again (see the quoted text below), i see that i should only move the SL of the first position and that i should not move the SL of the second position until the first position hits TP. Is this correct? Or does it not matter?
From section “long trade setups”
“You can move the stop loss to breakeven if the price moves according to the trade setup for 1 x SL.”
From section “how to maximize your profit”
“If the first position hits the target, move the second’s position stop loss to breakeven and hold it.”
When the first position hits the TP, you move the SL of the second position to breakeven. If the first position is 1:1 which means its stop loss and target sizes are the same, then when the first position hits the TP it means it has moved for 1xSL.
I’m sorry, i think i haven’t explained myself well enough in my previous comment. The way i interpret the above quoted text is that if the price is at 1.5 x SL (or anywhere between 1 x SL and 2 x SL), then the SL of the first position would have been moved to breakeven, but the SL of the second position has not changed and is still at “-1 x SL”. So at that point you have two different stoplosses, is that correct?
You don’t move the SL of the first position. You move the second position SL when the first position hits the TP.
“You don’t move the SL of the first position.”
Now you lost me, because i really don’t see how i can interpret this part of the article any other way (i use 2 x SL as the target for the first position):
“[…] the target can be at least twice of the stop loss size (2 x SL). You can move the stop loss to breakeven if the price moves according to the trade setup for 1 x SL. For example, when your stop loss is 60 pips, then you can move the stop loss to breakeven if the price goes up for 60 pips.”
In that example, my target would be 120 pips. What i wanted to know was when to move the second position to breakeven. Should i do that when price is at +60 pips ( at the same time i move the SL of the first position) or when it’s at +120 pips (when the first position hits TP).
Again, sorry to take up your valuable time, i realize you must be very busy between writing all these wonderful articles and answering questions from other people. It’s just that i want to be 100% sure about the rules. If i’m doing something wrong, I’d rather find out now than in 6 months.
The strategy is already working nicely on my demo account, GBPNZD made a nice dive today 🙂
Sorry for my confusion. The above article is written by Kamel and that is his strategy. I don’t move the first positions stop loss to breakeven.
Glad to hear you have been doing good so far.
Not really sure, what you don’t understand on this simple strategy. Just read it multiple times and watch examples from authors. Only valid questions on them are, if they backtested their strategy and what’s the success ratio and average win/average loss ration.
I have simplified this strategy to maximal extent and even increased the profitability and proved it in backtest. So if the original strategy is too complicated to you, you can use the rules i have posted above.
It’s an amazing strategy that only very few generous-minded people dare to share.
Can I know what percentage you earn monthly/annually by applying this strategy?
I think that can tell us more about its success rate.
It is impossible to answer this question, because markets behave differently every month. Please read the below comments. Some trader have back-tested this system and published the results on this page.
Thanks for your article i have read all the article and it is very good for daily time frame trading…
can you tell me how to download Double bolinger Band….
looking forward for your positive and prompt reply…
You are welcome.
You don’t have to download anything. You should add two Bollinger Bands to the same chart. One of them with the default settings and the other one with Deviation=1.
It seems to me that the trade is setup today at the euro/usd.
Obrigado pelo artigo.
Bem-vindo ao LuckScout.
A long trade setup on EUR/USD daily chart?
Thanks for the welcome and the wonderful site you got.
Yes indeed that is what I meant.
I am desperate that you did not answer my question on Mar 5, 2015 on this same thread. Meanwhile you keep on responding on others’ comentários.
Me desculpe por isso. I just answered that comment.
Is the opposite direction for the DBB setups also “true”/likely to succeed for often than fail?
Example for a downtrend:
& # 8211; two candles close between BB1 upper band and BB2 upper band.
& # 8211; one candle closes bearish below the BB1 upper band but above the middle band to make it stronger.
I can see exactly that in the gold chart right now, but maybe it’s a coincidence, because of the 1200 USD psychological mark.
Please upload an example to tinypic and share the URL here, so that I can see what you mean exactly. Obrigado.
What I mean is technically a “reversed DBB setup” so from the top to the bottom.
The typically DBB setup:
& # 8211; we have two candles between the middle band and bb1 band for a strong setup.
& # 8211; we have one candle closing above bb1.
The idea (screenshot):
& # 8211; we have two candles between the bb2 upper band and the bb1 upper band.
& # 8211; we have one candle closing below the bb1 lower band.
& # 8211; in the screenshot the two candles are the gravestone doji and the bearish candle touching the purple line, which is a 50 SMA.
& # 8211; the third candle closes below bb1 upper band.
I guess it’s a coincidence and not a setup. Today’s candle shows me that it’s retesting the 50 SMA, so I assume the reason we went down was the 50 SMA.
Thank you for sharing this. Hope you don’t mind if I say I have no comment on this. It has to be back-tested to see how it has worked in the past.
I’ve just seen the last gold bearish candle also closed below the 50 SMA, that might also be the reason…
I am appreciate to find this site as I am novice in trading and thank you and your friends for such huge support, almost read all 5 steps and trying follow your points. I am at stage of analyzing and practicing, so I have question: USD/JPY daily 11.02.2015 long bearish candle formed engulfing pattern, strong breaking upper BB, from everything what I read here, it is strong short setup, but price went up, what was confirmed by DBB strategy with 14-15-16.02.2015. May I know what did I miss?
Thank you for your attantion.
1. We don’t take the short trade setups that the participant candlestick has a considerable lower shadow in it. The 2015.02.12 candlestick has a too long lower shadow.
2. Sometimes even the best and strongest setups hit the stop loss. You have to be prepared for it.
It is unbelievable what you do here guys! I am just overwhelmed.
I really hope that you receieve as much as you give because you deserve it.
Have you ever check what is the winning rate for this strategy? It looks so simple to follow and yet effective.
One more time, Thank you so much for the great work.
I haven’t done that, but if you check the above comments, you will see that some other LuckScout members have done it and shared the result.
This is such a great strategy for us working stiffs thank you Kamel for sharing.
Thank you for sharing a system so effective and simple with all of us and for free.
I just stumbled across your free system online, since I just completed a very similar daily system myself and looked for ideas to finally make it work.
I created one with a quite similar idea to catch trends in the beginning. Since I did not know a better way, I based mine on moving averages and candlesticks but I find your approach with two sets of Bollinger bands a whole lot more comfortable and precise than MAs alone could be. So your way to keep things simple is just incredible to me.
I plan to apply that system as soon as possible. First I need to refund my account, because I let mine be torn down by a lot of mistakes Chris identified in his article about greed. So I hope to do better in the future.
You and Chris are incredible, unselfishly educating people with true wisdom and encouragement.
My ultimate goal is to be able one day to give wisdom for other people to prosper just the way you guys do.
I am truly greatful and will keep reading your stuff and learn and master everything you share.
Greetings from Germany.
Thank You very much for simple and impressive.
Chris and Kamel, You guys are geniuses!:)
All best to You!
So, can I use it to trade the continuation signals when I’m not sure about the reversal patterns?
You can trade when a trade setup forms. There is no other rule.
Thank you Chris and Kamal. Testing DBB on demo. Looks very promising.
Thank you Kamel and Chris.
This trading system is simple and effective. Just started back-testing it and collecting the information on other articles and your comments.
Would you please tell us that the article about making the first 100000$ applies to this strategy or not?
Hi Kamel, thanks for sharing this system. Just some quick questions:
& # 8211; how long have you been trading it for?
& # 8211; Are the results in terms of achievable monthly return, similar to the main candlestick + bollinger system?
I am somewhat new to technical analysis in general, so I was thinking of trying this system alone because it is simpler and seeing if I can handle it alone, without using the main system.
Chris what happened to Kamel. Many days have passed since I last saw Kamel articles last in this site. I hope to get something new from Kamel.
He is doing good and is following us always, but he doesn’t feel like writing. He is the typical example of a lazy trader 🙂
Hmm I agree perfectly with u on this point of view. Kamel, show Chris that you are not lazy so that we can see something new articles from u. 🙂
hi kamel, DBBs is not working in my platform?
God bless you for such another great great article.
I need your confirmation, regarding to your example given above, in case of long trade setup, it doesn’t matter if the #1 and #2 candlestick are bullish or bearish. Only the #3 candlestick have to be bullish in case of long trade setup. Estou certo?
Thank you so much Kamel and Chris.
i have studied enough articals on LuckScout, actually all of them starting from 2012. i have found DBB very very simple and easy.
sir my question is that can i use ONLY DBB in my demo untill i learn regular candlestick system.
Yes, you can. Why not?
Of course, this system is also so simple and doesn’t take more than 30min of your time every week:
You can use it with DBB system.
Are you saying that trading with the stochastic system that you taught us and use it on weekly timeframe, we can be consistently profitable? Obrigado!
If we trade on weekly and monthly, then we need to have bigger account as the stop loss is wide, don’t we?
Please anyone can tell me where can i get this double bollianger bands indicator !
It is explained above. You add 2 Bollinger Bands to each chart. One with default settings. The other one with Dev 1.
Obrigado Chris. Eu vou tentar isso. 🙂
You can add 2 bollinger bands with deviations 1 and 2. If you save this as a template then you can use it again and again easily.
If you save your template with the name “default. tpl” then it will be loaded with all the new charts automatically. This will be easy for you. 🙂
Thank you Chandima. I did it. It is easy to use now. Obrigado novamente. 🙂
Isso é incrível!
Thank you Kamal!
that eurcad d1 set up with dbb. It looks like a bread n butter.
can anybody tell me how to use the indicators mentioned in the note above eg singh’s indicator for DBB?
i have the same problem. downloaded both indicators, but DBB_indicator_based_on_Chris_method seems not to work. am i doing anything wrong ?
I cant find the download links either.
what do you want to download? I can help.
Indicators links are at the end of the post. Both downloadable. But one seems not to work… 🙁
All the links work for me.
Oi Cris! Sorry I didn’t explain well… Download links work! But after installing the DBB_indicator_based_on_chris….. it doesn’t work. A blank space appears under the chart and nothing else… I thought it was an EA but it isn’t… Really don’t know why 🙁
Oh, I see. Unfortunately I don’t have to source code of those indicators. I hope those who LuckScout users who developed the indicators make them compatible with the new MT4 build.
Hope it too… I don’t know how to send them a private message… Hope they are reading this… By the way thank you very much Chris!
One that help find strong candles stick patterns please thank you in advance.
thank you so much! i will be trying this strategy on my demo account!
Lovely article. though i had it understood, but so far i understand this should be a good bearish signal.
am i wrong or is it just one of those times.
(the one under the big red arrow to the right)
I don’t see any signal on that chart. Which candlesticks you are talking about?
i have gone through most of this site’s articles since last 15 days and started using DBB method plus daily candlesticks n bollinger method.
i have left almost all indicators and only check daily candlesticks at close. if there is a setup and a confirmation daily candle is there after the first one i place the order after checking support/resistance if any nearby. and secondly if any DBB setup available i go for it. i have installed majid’s indicator and DBB indicator also which are of great help.
my question is that do i need to check anything else before going for trade because i have left RSI stoch and other indicators cuz they are like thousands and every indicator tells a different story. i couldnt cope up with them. plz tell me if anything else needed?
P. S. u guys are amazing trading by your method is much easier.
No, you don’t need anything else. Make sure to read this article:
Hey again Chris.
well its around the 18/7-15 on eur/jpy daily market.. i dont know if you can see the link i have set up.
all signals are bearish, 2 candlesticks over DBB1 lower and candlestick 3 under DBB1 lower.. would love if u can check out the link and see where im wrong, since only thing i can see is im maybe trading against the market? :S..
Yes, I see a short trade setup based on DBB around that area. Of course there is no 2015.07.18 candlestick on the daily chart, because 18th was weekend. Please mark the trade setup somehow so I can see what setup mean exactly. Obrigado.
Hope you are really doing great,
What could have been the reason for the two consecutive trade set-up failing to hit the target.
On Eur/Jpy 17th July 2015, I have followed you up mentioned something to do with weekend, what exactly do you mean here?…
and then on 28th July 2015 Eur/jpy also did not hit the turget. Do you have a special explanation for not trading this set-up or was it okay to take the positions?
Once more thank you for your energies and sacrifice to teach the whole congregation.
Stay sage and smart.
Hello again Chris.
first of all thanks for taking your time to help me 🙂
i have taken a new pic and marked the area in a red circle.
on the chart i have made another trade today.. thats a decent bullish setup, right? 🙂
I see only half of the circle. By the way, the 2015.07.17 candle formed a sell signal. Now the 2015.07.27 candle has formed a buy signal.
How to make double Bollinger bands.
It is explain in the article that you should add two sets of Bollinger Bands indicator. One with the default settings and the second one with Deviations: 1.
Open your mt4 account or platform and go to the insert button click it select bollinger bands a box should pop up click the parameters it should be 20, 2, Repeat this process and add change the deviation to 1 you should have two sets. Espero que isto ajude.
Hello again again Chris :P..
ya i agree with u on the sell on 7/17 and the one a few days ago.. very glad that you agree with me, so i actually can see that im right in my setups :P..
on the 7/17 bearish signal there was a strong short signal, right.
(only bearish candlesticks)
but it still didnt go up, so its just one of those times where it takes the SL and i try another time, right.
hopefully you’ll understand what i mean 🙂
Has someone written an alert for Chris’s trading strategy? If yes, please share that as well.
Thanks for sharing your strategy Kamel.
Anything that takes the guess work out of it for us rookies is much appreciated.
This is very much amazing, I don’t understand that you trained Kamel and now he explains and shares knowledge, I’m sure you have got a lot of wisdom, from a lot of wisdom you chose to share with us, You are the only one I know in the Universe who has such a kind heart. Surely it is always defeating my understanding!
Stay safe and happy always 🙂
Thank you Nics. Glad to hear you like what I do here on this site 🙂
Cheers and Cool 🙂
Thank you kamel, been using your strategy for a while now and love it, so simple yet very effective!!
I think I have to start using this strategy combine with master Chris strategy and see what result it will give. I love your article so comprehensive.
Hi Chris and Kamel and everyone one who works in this site. I am new to your site and just registered few days ago. the information I find here is amazing and so useful like everyone says. I have been reading your articles about DBB strategy and I found it so amazing. I looked at so many patterns specially in EURUSD and I kind of feel the pattern of the candle stick or maybe the length of them or the distance they have from the BB1 upper or lower band can make a difference. In one you articles you mentioned “right below the BB1 upper band, or right above BB1 lower band. I wanted to know what exactly you mean by the word “right” because you just mentioned it in one place and not in the other sentence’s or articles. Thanks a lot for your help and support and your amazing information.
Thank you and welcome to our site 🙂
I’m a newbie to LuckScout and have read your article several times. I just want to say thankyou for posting this article because It will help me start making profitable trades. Up until now In have only made small profits and mostly losses trying to trade the shorter time frames. Thanks again and keep posting. Phil.
Hi Kamel and Chris,
Is it possible to use the DBB Standard deviation 1 for BB breakout with candlestick patterns, because I’ve seen some setups form correctly, and it seems nowadays on many daily charts, standard deviation 2 is hard for the market to reach.
Could this be due to algorithmic trading killing market inefficiencies?
As I explained once, you can use BB1 and locate the strong candlestick signals. There are so many traders who do it.
> Could this be due to algorithmic trading killing market inefficiencies?
No. Algorithmic trading cannot affect market. Please kindly share a screenshot as an example, so that I can see what you are talking about exactly.
Also I am worried that the the daily candlesticks with my broker may affect my trades.
My broker is CM UK. It seems their candlesticks close at 1am GMT+1, which is currently New York summertime/EST+1 8pm instead of 5pm, and it seems to my eyes that your charts are slightly different from mine.
Could you give me advice on this?
Pardon for the many questions, I just registered an account and bursting with questions.
Muito obrigado novamente!
Yes, the daily candlestick close time can make the candlesticks shapes different. In most of my screenshots I use the FxPro charts. You can do the same for your analysis, and then use your broker platform only to take the positions.
Thank you sir for this new strategy of trading.
I would like to know how to add second set of BB to my screen . I tried but could not succed. Pls. guide.
Thanks and regards.
Qual plataforma você está usando?
Thank you so much sir Kamel, you have solved me alot of headache especially in determining the target and stop loss.
Hello Chris Sir and Kamel/
I want to ask that, as Chris sir’s trading system BB with with deviation 2. you have told many timee that, strong candle stick patterns like Dark Cloud cover , piercing line and both Engulfing bear and bullish, with break out BUB or BLB breakouts, makes strong setup. but i want wo ask that. as i find that as kamels DBB ( deviation 1) there is also i find many times as well as i trades these setups, that strong candlestick patterns, Dark cloud ( both bearish and bullish, and Engulfing ( both bearish and Bullish) that breakout the DBuB1. ( bellow BuB2 in case of short trade setup and also DBLB1 ( above the BLB2). as strong setups these type also goes for atlest 2to3 candles or days as same trades. short and long. does this work or can i take this type of setups. with proper SL and TP.
The best thing to get your answer is that you check the back data and list the setups that worked and the ones that didn’t.
How to use this strategy in Amibroker software ? In Amibroker we have parameters like Price Field, Period & Width.
You have to change deviation to 1 for one of the BB indicators. Isso é tudo.
Can the DBB strategy be profitable using 4 hour charts? Or is it better to stick to Daily and longer time frames with this strategy?
The longer the time frame, the stronger the signals. Shorter time frames will have more losing positions.
Ok, I’ll stick to longer time frames. Thanks again!
I would like to know when you mentioned you check only 15 minutes a day to check for a setup, does that mean you are only looking for (1st candlestick and 2nd candlestick close below Upper BB1 and 3rd candlestick close above Upper BB1) setup only? or is there any other form of setup? I hope you understand my question.
I don’t follow the DBB system, but I know the answer of your question. We should check the last 3 closed candlesticks. Please also read this article:
Chris or Kamel, i just found this DBB set up on EURAUD daily chart. The 3rd candle was 2 days ago, but i think the price still ok to take position. I just want u guys too take a look the chart and confirm for thia signal, cause im new for this DBB system. THX.
Hello Anton Praja I have opened position on this currency pair on 10.23.2015 based on DBB strategy. I am still still holding the position.
I have 2 doubts to clarify.
1. Does the color of the candle(candle no.1) matter?.
2. Is this strategy valid if candle 2 and 3 touches BB1 bottom line and BB2 bottom line.
You guys make a huge effort to teach us everything you know.
Muito obrigado.
Hallo Kamel and Chris. Its good to know you. I love LuckScout.
the 2 indicators you give for this system is not working, please help.
That method seems interesting, I will give it a try. Sorry if there has been already an answer, but is the strategy suitable with CFD and metals charts? And if no, why? Muito obrigado.
Dear Chris, So thankful for your hard work you have done so far to improve our trading skills.
Special thanks to Kamel for this simple and effective DBB strategy.
Thank you for back test Report of this strategy by JojoW .
today 2016-03-22,GBP/USD candlestick #1 and #2 are formed below BB1 upper band and above middle band too, and 3rd is closed above BB1 upper band still prices are going down. o que é isso? is that my understanding problem or it is really happening.
Another confusion. After 14th March, there was a selling signals but after Candle stick #3, which was closed down BB1 lower band, prices startd going up all of a sudden. can you please teach me I am brand new in the currency trade.
# how much news effect in daily chart with this strategy ??
# whats condition before news ??
Hi Kamel and Chris. Found the LuckScout website only yesterday and am in the process of reading through your articles. Very interesting stuff, but I’m a bit confused by the two different types of ‘double bollinger bands (DBB)’ trading approaches. Chris’ strategy in a nutshell: “The strong candlestick pattern with a strong Bollinger Band breakout have to be formed on an “exhausted” market, not on a too strong trending market.” On the other hand, the DBB strategy that Kamel recommends ‘trend continuation’ setups (my interpretation). I don’t see how to combine these two different approaches to trading (‘trend continuation’ versus ‘Breakout/trend reversal’). Desde já, obrigado.
How do I set up the alerts indicator? I have downloaded and installed both indicators but I can’t find how to set the alerts. It’s not available in my indicators section. Someone please help .. if you know how to set the arts up please email me at [email protected] … Thank you very much for everything!
veryyyyy great artical Chris or Kamel, god bless u.
can i ask u one thing chris if i take 2 positions when DBB system crate signal. these 2 positions have same stop loss set on third candlestick. low or high price one position target and stop loss is same and second position close when strong reversal setup forms, i want ask u then i will in profit if i trade like this ? and sir my english is not good so plz sorry sir and thanks.
Do you always set a market order when an eligible candle closes, or is a pending order an equally plausible entry? If so, would a pending order have to be cancelled if not triggered within one bar?
I don’t set pending orders.
> If so, would a pending order have to be cancelled if not triggered within one bar?
It depends. Sometimes a bar is too small and doesn’t touch the pending order. So you will have to give more time to the market to hit the order.
Obrigado Chris! One followup question, is there a particular reason you don’t use pending orders? Did you test this, or is it more a style-of-trading thing? Thanks, and happy trading.
It is more a style. I prefer to see the market first and then take my position.
In yr DBB strategy, while entry is purely based on BB1, what is the role played by BB2.
Thanks for yr time.
My brother uses the DBB system and seems to like it. Great explanation brother thanks!
Thank you Kemal for the article. Although I have read before, still this is invaluable article to remind me.
I wanted to find out if you use DBB as well?
I don’t use that system.
is there any indicator to support this methode, i found unsual in EUR USD, here i send the screenshot, if we found like that what should we do to anticipate it ?
the candle shows sell trade based on DBB strategy, but in reality its turn to BUY trade.
Hi, I am new here (September, 2017) and I’m already addicted the articles on here.
I like that you guys are simple and realistic. I look forward to many more great articles.

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John Bollinger é uma das figuras-chave do mundo das negociações hoje. Um grande número de comerciantes passados ​​e presentes usaram bandas de Bollinger independentemente dos ativos que estão negociando e são frequentemente citados como uma das ferramentas mais úteis para determinar o futuro movimento do mercado. Bollinger em Bollinger Bands é uma leitura muito útil que explicará como usar corretamente esta técnica em sua negociação direta do homem que as inventou.
John Bollinger, Bollinger em Bollinger Bands.
A melhor maneira de aprender sobre as bandas de Bollinger é do próprio homem.
Os motivos por trás das bandas de Bollinger.
Embora não haja nenhuma maneira de ter certeza de 100% em que direção o mercado irá (e Bollinger é o primeiro a confirmar isso), as bandas de Bollinger ficam muito perto de lhe dar a análise exata e fornecer um curso possível. John Bollinger solidificou seu lugar na história da negociação quando ele inventou sua própria ferramenta de negociação e nos primeiros dois capítulos de John Bollinger em Bollinger Bands pdf gratuito, somos apresentados tanto as razões pelas quais ele as criou, como também o cenário geral de a situação do mercado décadas antes.
As diretrizes que você encontrará no livro.
In order to successfully use Bollinger bands in your trading strategy, you need to understand how they work and the best way to learn is from the man himself. Um dos erros mais comuns cometidos pelos comerciantes hoje em dia não faz uma avaliação da qualidade do movimento dos preços e ignora a análise, que é essencial para o comércio bem-sucedido. Bollinger compartilha suas diretrizes e regras que ele criou para si mesmo e prova o quão importante é realmente abordar vários aspectos da análise, a fim de obter um bom resultado final que acabará por ajudá-lo a alcançar o resultado desejado.
Quem deve ler Bollinger em Bollinger Bands?
Mesmo se você tiver certeza de que você está usando as bandas de Bollinger corretamente em sua negociação, ler o livro de Bollinger no Bollinger Bands livre pode descobrir alguns detalhes que você não encontrou antes. Além disso, tenha em mente que você pode usar bônus gratuitos sem depósito para testar essa estratégia em detalhes e ver como isso funciona para você. We advise you no deposit bonus from easy-forex. John Bollinger criou esse tipo de análise e que ele sabe absolutamente tudo sobre isso.
Este livro é uma excelente leitura se você quiser aprender a usar esta ferramenta do jeito certo e melhorar seu desempenho geral no mercado. Não importa se você negocie Forex, commodities, futuros e assim por diante - este livro é uma leitura obrigatória. Se você quiser expandir seu conhecimento, baixe o livro de Bollinger on Bollinger Bands e veja por que é um dos melhores guias de negociação disponíveis hoje.

R&D Blog.
I. Trading Strategy.
Desenvolvedor: John Bollinger (Bollinger Bands®). Conceito: estratégia de negociação baseada na tendência baseada em Bollinger Bands. Meta de pesquisa: verificação de desempenho do modelo trifásico (longo / curto / neutro). Specification: Table 1. Results: Figure 1-2. Configuração de comércio: operações longas: fechar [i-1] & gt; Upper_Band [i - 1]. Operações curtas: fechar [i-1] & lt; Lower_Band [i-1]. Índice: i.
Barra atual. Entrada comercial: Long Trades: Uma compra no open é colocada após uma configuração de alta. Short Trades: A sell at the open is placed after a bearish Setup. Trade Exit: Tabela 1. Carteira: 42 mercados de futuros de quatro principais setores de mercado (commodities, moedas, taxas de juros e índices de participação). Dados: 36 anos desde 1980. Plataforma de teste: MATLAB®.
II. Sensitivity Test.
All 3-D charts are followed by 2-D contour charts for Profit Factor, Sharpe Ratio, Ulcer Performance Index, CAGR, Maximum Drawdown, Percent Profitable Trades, and Avg. Win / Avg. Loss Ratio. The final picture shows sensitivity of Equity Curve.
Variáveis ​​testadas: MA_Length & amp; St_Dev (Definições: Tabela 1):
Figure 1 | Portfolio Performance (Inputs: Table 1; Commission & Slippage: $0).
Std (MA_Length) é um desvio padrão ao longo de um período de MA_Length.
St_Dev é uma série de desvios padrão para incluir no envelope.
Upper_Band [i] = MA [i] + St_Dev * Std [i]
Lower_Band [i] = MA [i] - St_Dev * Std [i]
St_Dev = [0.0, 3.0], Step = 0.1;
Operações curtas: fechar [i-1] & lt; Lower_Band [i-1]
Short Trades: A sell at the open is placed after a bearish Setup.
Stop Loss Exit: ATR(ATR_Length) is the Average True Range over a period of ATR_Length. ATR_Stop is a multiple of ATR(ATR_Length). Long Trades: A sell stop is placed at [Entry − ATR(ATR_Length) * ATR_Stop]. Short Trades: A buy stop is placed at [Entry + ATR(ATR_Length) * ATR_Stop].
St_Dev = [0,0, 3,0], Etapa = 0,1.
ATR_Stop = 6 (ATR.
Average True Range)
Table 1 | Specification: Trading Strategy.
III. Sensitivity Test with Commission & Slippage.
Variáveis ​​testadas: MA_Length & amp; St_Dev (Definições: Tabela 1):
Figure 2 | Portfolio Performance (Inputs: Table 1; Commission & Slippage: $100 Round Turn).
IV. Classificação: Bollinger Bands & # 8211; Modelo Momentum | Estratégia de negociação.
(i) A configuração padrão de Bollinger Bands (MA_Length = 20) não é otimizada e a menor freqüência de negociação é preferida (ou seja, MA_Length & gt; 60; Figura 1-2); (ii) O envelope de volatilidade melhora o desempenho (isto é, St_Dev & gt; 0; Figura 2); (iii) A estratégia foi recuperada da redução recente.
REGRA CFTC 4.41: RESULTADOS DE DESEMPENHO HIPOTÉTICOS OU SIMULADOS TÊM CERTAS LIMITAÇÕES. DESEJO UM REGISTRO DE DESEMPENHO REAL, OS RESULTADOS SIMULADOS NÃO REPRESENTAM A NEGOCIAÇÃO REAL. TAMBÉM, DESDE QUE OS NEGÓCIOS NÃO FORAM EXECUTADOS, OS RESULTADOS PODERÃO TER COMPRIMIDO COM COMPENSADO PARA O IMPACTO, SE QUALQUER, DE CERTOS FATORES DE MERCADO, COMO FALTA DE LIQUIDEZ. PROGRAMAS DE NEGOCIAÇÃO SIMULADOS EM GERAL SÃO TAMBÉM SUJEITOS AO FATO QUE ESTÃO DESIGNADOS COM O BENEFÍCIO DE HINDSIGHT. NENHUMA REPRESENTAÇÃO ESTÁ FAZENDO QUE QUALQUER CONTA VOCE OU POSSIBILIDADE DE ALCANÇAR LUCROS OU PERDAS SIMILARES ÀOS MOSTRADOS.
RISK DISCLOSURE: U. S. GOVERNMENT REQUIRED DISCLAIMER | REGRA CFTC 4.41.
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